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Is Qingdao Port International (HKG:6198) Using Too Much Debt?

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 25, 2022 18:50

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Qingdao Port International Co., Ltd. (HKG:6198) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Qingdao Port International

What Is Qingdao Port International's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Qingdao Port International had CN¥1.45b of debt in March 2022, down from CN¥1.98b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥7.08b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥5.63b.

debt-equity-history-analysisSEHK:6198 Debt to Equity History July 25th 2022

How Healthy Is Qingdao Port International's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Qingdao Port International had liabilities of CN¥14.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥5.70b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥7.08b in cash and CN¥9.58b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥3.87b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Qingdao Port International has a market capitalization of CN¥33.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Qingdao Port International also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Qingdao Port International's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Qingdao Port International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Qingdao Port International has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Qingdao Port International reported free cash flow worth 17% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Summing Up

Although Qingdao Port International's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥5.63b. So we don't have any problem with Qingdao Port International's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Qingdao Port International that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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