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We Don't Think Starlite Holdings' (HKG:403) Earnings Should Make Shareholders Too Comfortable

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 21, 2022 18:35

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Starlite Holdings Limited's (HKG:403) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. Our analysis suggests they may be concerned about some underlying details.

Check out our latest analysis for Starlite Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-historySEHK:403 Earnings and Revenue History July 21st 2022

A Closer Look At Starlite Holdings' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Starlite Holdings has an accrual ratio of 1.17 for the year to March 2022. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of HK$357.5m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through HK$219m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of HK$219m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Starlite Holdings.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Starlite Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$468m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Starlite Holdings had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to March 2022. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Starlite Holdings' Profit Performance

Starlite Holdings had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Starlite Holdings'underlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Be aware that Starlite Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is potentially serious...

Our examination of Starlite Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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