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Is Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech (SZSE:300499) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 19, 2022 18:35

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech. Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300499) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech

What Is Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech had debt of CN¥404.6m at the end of March 2022, a reduction from CN¥500.5m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥221.6m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥183.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysisSZSE:300499 Debt to Equity History July 19th 2022

How Strong Is Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech had liabilities of CN¥1.04b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥328.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥221.6m and CN¥1.25b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥111.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.96 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 4.5 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. We note that Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. Considering this range of data points, we think Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Guangzhou Goaland Energy Conservation Tech is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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