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At HK$2.10, Is It Time To Put China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983) On Your Watch List?

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 15, 2022 04:10

China BlueChemical Ltd. (HKG:3983), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SEHK over the last few months, increasing to HK$2.99 at one point, and dropping to the lows of HK$2.10. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether China BlueChemical's current trading price of HK$2.10 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at China BlueChemical's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for China BlueChemical

What is China BlueChemical worth?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. I find that China BlueChemical's ratio of 5.53x is trading slightly below its industry peers' ratio of 5.97x, which means if you buy China BlueChemical today, you'd be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that China BlueChemical should be trading at this level in the long run, then there's not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Furthermore, it seems like China BlueChemical's share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it's priced similarly to industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

Can we expect growth from China BlueChemical?

earnings-and-revenue-growthSEHK:3983 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 15th 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 23% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for China BlueChemical. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 3983's positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 3983? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on 3983, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 3983, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about China BlueChemical as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example - China BlueChemical has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in China BlueChemical, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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