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Improved Earnings Required Before China Beststudy Education Group (HKG:3978) Stock's 74% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  May 19, 2022 20:11

China Beststudy Education Group (HKG:3978) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 74% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 81% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, China Beststudy Education Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.2x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 9x and even P/E's higher than 19x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

For instance, China Beststudy Education Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for China Beststudy Education Group

SEHK:3978 Price Based on Past Earnings May 19th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Beststudy Education Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as China Beststudy Education Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 25% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why China Beststudy Education Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

What We Can Learn From China Beststudy Education Group's P/E?

Even after such a strong price move, China Beststudy Education Group's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that China Beststudy Education Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for China Beststudy Education Group that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Beststudy Education Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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