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Is Wangfujing Group (SHSE:600859) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  May 14, 2022 21:03

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Wangfujing Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600859) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Wangfujing Group

What Is Wangfujing Group's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Wangfujing Group had debt of CN¥3.98b, up from CN¥3.37b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥13.6b in cash, so it actually has CN¥9.61b net cash.

SHSE:600859 Debt to Equity History May 15th 2022

How Healthy Is Wangfujing Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Wangfujing Group had liabilities of CN¥10.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥8.20b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥13.6b and CN¥602.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.01b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Wangfujing Group has a market capitalization of CN¥24.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Wangfujing Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Wangfujing Group has boosted its EBIT by 49%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wangfujing Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Wangfujing Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Wangfujing Group recorded free cash flow of 45% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing up

Although Wangfujing Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥9.61b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 49% over the last year. So is Wangfujing Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Wangfujing Group has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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