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AGTech Holdings (HKG:8279) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business

Simply Wall St ·  May 10, 2022 20:56

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

So should AGTech Holdings (HKG:8279) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

Check out our latest analysis for AGTech Holdings

When Might AGTech Holdings Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In December 2021, AGTech Holdings had HK$1.6b in cash, and was debt-free. Importantly, its cash burn was HK$29m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a very long cash runway of many years from December 2021. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

SEHK:8279 Debt to Equity History May 11th 2022

How Well Is AGTech Holdings Growing?

AGTech Holdings managed to reduce its cash burn by 71% over the last twelve months, which suggests it's on the right flight path. This reduction was no doubt supported by its strong revenue growth of 57% in the same period. Overall, we'd say its growth is rather impressive. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. This graph of historic revenue growth shows how AGTech Holdings is building its business over time.

Can AGTech Holdings Raise More Cash Easily?

There's no doubt AGTech Holdings seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Since it has a market capitalisation of HK$3.4b, AGTech Holdings' HK$29m in cash burn equates to about 0.8% of its market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

So, Should We Worry About AGTech Holdings' Cash Burn?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way AGTech Holdings is burning through its cash. For example, we think its revenue growth suggests that the company is on a good path. But it's fair to say that its cash burn reduction was also very reassuring. Taking all the factors in this report into account, we're not at all worried about its cash burn, as the business appears well capitalized to spend as needs be. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 2 warning signs for AGTech Holdings (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course AGTech Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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