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Times Neighborhood Holdings Limited (HKG:9928) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 25%

Simply Wall St ·  May 10, 2022 18:33

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Times Neighborhood Holdings Limited (HKG:9928) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 65% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, Times Neighborhood Holdings may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 10x and even P/E's higher than 19x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Times Neighborhood Holdings has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Times Neighborhood Holdings

SEHK:9928 Price Based on Past Earnings May 10th 2022 Keen to find out how analysts think Times Neighborhood Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Times Neighborhood Holdings?

Times Neighborhood Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 27% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 267% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 26% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 16% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Times Neighborhood Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

The softening of Times Neighborhood Holdings' shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Times Neighborhood Holdings currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Times Neighborhood Holdings (including 1 which can't be ignored).

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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