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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Jiyi Holdings Limited (HKG:1495) As Shares Slide 27%

Simply Wall St ·  May 7, 2022 20:26

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Jiyi Holdings Limited (HKG:1495) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 6.6% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Jiyi Holdings may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 66x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Jiyi Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiyi Holdings

SEHK:1495 Price Based on Past Earnings May 8th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiyi Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Jiyi Holdings' Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jiyi Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 35% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 70% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiyi Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Jiyi Holdings' P/E

Jiyi Holdings' shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Jiyi Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for Jiyi Holdings (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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