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We Think Peijia Medical (HKG:9996) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

Simply Wall St ·  May 6, 2022 19:56

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

So, the natural question for Peijia Medical (HKG:9996) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

Check out our latest analysis for Peijia Medical

Does Peijia Medical Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Peijia Medical last reported its balance sheet in December 2021, it had zero debt and cash worth CN¥2.3b. In the last year, its cash burn was CN¥629m. That means it had a cash runway of about 3.7 years as of December 2021. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. Importantly, if we extrapolate recent cash burn trends, the cash runway would be a lot longer. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

SEHK:9996 Debt to Equity History May 6th 2022

How Well Is Peijia Medical Growing?

It was quite stunning to see that Peijia Medical increased its cash burn by 204% over the last year. It seems likely that the vociferous operating revenue growth of 253% during that time may well have given management confidence to ramp investment. In light of the data above, we're fairly sanguine about the business growth trajectory. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

Can Peijia Medical Raise More Cash Easily?

While Peijia Medical seems to be in a decent position, we reckon it is still worth thinking about how easily it could raise more cash, if that proved desirable. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Peijia Medical has a market capitalisation of CN¥3.2b and burnt through CN¥629m last year, which is 20% of the company's market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

How Risky Is Peijia Medical's Cash Burn Situation?

On this analysis of Peijia Medical's cash burn, we think its revenue growth was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Peijia Medical's situation. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 2 warning signs for Peijia Medical that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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