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Why Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s (HKG:1739) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Simply Wall St ·  May 3, 2022 19:56

Qeeka Home (Cayman) Inc.'s (HKG:1739) stock rose after it released a robust earnings report. However, we think that shareholders should be aware of some other factors beyond the profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Qeeka Home (Cayman)

SEHK:1739 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2022

Examining Cashflow Against Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Qeeka Home (Cayman) has an accrual ratio of 2.18 for the year to December 2021. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥74.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥211m in the last year. It's worth noting that Qeeka Home (Cayman) generated positive FCF of CN¥73m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Qeeka Home (Cayman) shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qeeka Home (Cayman).

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥103m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2021. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s Profit Performance

Qeeka Home (Cayman) had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Qeeka Home (Cayman)'s statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. If you want to do dive deeper into Qeeka Home (Cayman), you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Qeeka Home (Cayman) (1 can't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

Our examination of Qeeka Home (Cayman) has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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