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Little Excitement Around China YuHua Education Corporation Limited's (HKG:6169) Earnings As Shares Take 31% Pounding

Simply Wall St ·  May 3, 2022 18:41

The China YuHua Education Corporation Limited (HKG:6169) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 31%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 84% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, China YuHua Education may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.5x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 10x and even P/E's higher than 19x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

China YuHua Education certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for China YuHua Education

SEHK:6169 Price Based on Past Earnings May 3rd 2022 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on China YuHua Education.

Is There Any Growth For China YuHua Education?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as China YuHua Education's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 39% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 98% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 1.7% per annum during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 16% each year, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that China YuHua Education is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

Shares in China YuHua Education have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of China YuHua Education's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for China YuHua Education that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than China YuHua Education. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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