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Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Space Group Holdings (HKG:2448)

Simply Wall St ·  May 2, 2022 19:30

Space Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:2448) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

See our latest analysis for Space Group Holdings

SEHK:2448 Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2022

Examining Cashflow Against Space Group Holdings' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to December 2021, Space Group Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.20. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of MO$131m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of MO$51.8m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of MO$131m, this year, indicates high risk.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Space Group Holdings.

Our Take On Space Group Holdings' Profit Performance

Space Group Holdings didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Space Group Holdings' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 26% in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Space Group Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Space Group Holdings has 4 warning signs (3 are significant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Space Group Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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