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Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai) Corporation (SZSE:301070) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 31% Price Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 27, 2022 20:56

The Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai) Corporation (SZSE:301070) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 31%. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 26x, you may still consider Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 32.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai)

SZSE:301070 Price Based on Past Earnings April 28th 2022 Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai)'s Growth Trending?

Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai)'s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 28% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 45% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 35% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai) is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

There's still some solid strength behind Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai)'s P/E, if not its share price lately. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai) revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Kale Environmental Technology (Shanghai) (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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