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Lecron Industrial Development Group's (SZSE:300343) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 27, 2022 20:12

Lecron Industrial Development Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300343) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

Check out our latest analysis for Lecron Industrial Development Group

SZSE:300343 Earnings and Revenue History April 27th 2022

Examining Cashflow Against Lecron Industrial Development Group's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to March 2022, Lecron Industrial Development Group had an accrual ratio of 0.22. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥342m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥582.2m. At this point we should mention that Lecron Industrial Development Group did manage to increase its free cash flow in the last twelve months The good news for shareholders is that Lecron Industrial Development Group's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Lecron Industrial Development Group.

Our Take On Lecron Industrial Development Group's Profit Performance

Lecron Industrial Development Group's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Lecron Industrial Development Group's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Lecron Industrial Development Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Be aware that Lecron Industrial Development Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Lecron Industrial Development Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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