• RIPPER : I’m excited ……

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• SpyderCallスレ主 RIPPER: Me too. I love a good dip to buy. And puts habe extremely low premiums right now. They could possibly print big time.

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• RIPPER : Am I the only one who saw this fall coming? I’m confused because seems like most out there were caught off guard.
  All week long, I have had a gut feeling this exact fall was going to occur simply from my constant close observation of the moving averages. The patterns and overall movement of moving averages (throughout all time frames)TELL A STORY.
  Only saying that because I’m not the best trader in any way, shape or form, but it seems even the pros didn’t see it coming

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• RIPPER SpyderCallスレ主: Yep, I had a couple of BIG bangers today.
  It’s a good idea right now, to sort through the tickers with the most meat on the bone, lowest IV that appear to be topped out. Yes, most I’m looking at appear to be completely topped out.
  If my original theory is correct, and this is the initial stage of transitioning from bull run to bear, then we are about to have some of the best opportunities of the entire quarter.

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• SpyderCallスレ主 RIPPER: Good call. today was ugly. How low do you think it will go before the market buys it back up?

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

もっとコメントを見る...

• BelleWeather : I think proper portfolio positioning vis a vis inflation is important. The concern I have is stagflation, so I’m trying to be defensive to that. This is difficult. And timing the market is impossible and crazy-making, so I personally am taking each day as it comes.
  I don’t think anyone is going to sell off over these concerns, and Powell is not about to fan those flames either!

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• SpyderCallスレ主 BelleWeather: They might not sell over these concerns. But when these variables are present, then any negative catalyst will likely catalyze a selloff. For example, if we get bad rhetoric from Powell next week, then we might see extra volatility. That being said, in the current environment, any selloff will be a good buying opportunity until something breaks in the economy.

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• SpyderCallスレ主 BelleWeather: So far, wages and employment numbers have held up, so stagflation is not a concern until inflation picks back up. With the way oil and gasoline prices have been climbing, we could possibly see a stagflationary environment soon, but not yet. Things are almost perfect in the economic data currently. We are in a goldilocks zone for the Fed right now. And if things get worse, then the Fed has already mentioned cutting rates. That would be even more accomodative for equities as the "Fed Put" will be in play at that point. So, if we do see stagflation, it shouldn't last long as the Fed will accommodate markets when the inflation, wages, or employment situation changes negatively.

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• BelleWeather : Agreed on the Goldilocks zone vis a vis the Fed mandate save one issue - the reserve bank balance is almost out - won’t they have to move to correct that?

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• SpyderCallスレ主 BelleWeather: They have been greatly decreasing the balance sheet since march 2022. This is done through selling treasury bonds or mortgage securities. Short-term treasuries, like bills, have been the biggest culprits for the runoff of the balance sheet. This has been unwinding the massive amount of asset purchases since the 2008 financial crisis.
  They purchased all of these assets back then as a form of quantative easing to boost the economy. Right now, they are selling treasury notes at sky-high yields to provide liquidity to banks essentially. This is putting more liabilities onto the balance sheet, which brings the balance down.
  I don't think the balance sheet runoff is such a big deal at the moment.
  Once the economy is showing signs of trouble, then I think we will need to worry about the Fed balance sheet. If they start buying assets, essentially quantative easing, then they might think that there is weakness in the economy.
  You might think that with the Fed balance falling like it is, then long-term treasuries should be falling along with the balance. But that has not been the case since last November as these treasuries have been climbing.
  This tells me that the balance sheet is now falling because the Fed is adding liquidity through short-term bond sales, which inject liquidity into the economy, which is good for an economy and equities.

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

もっとコメントを見る...

• DadOnARun : it's nothing until it's something.  until it's something this is just hype.  3 tours into the M East, chasing and securing the red sea is a monthly event.  just view a map that shows allies vs enemies. it's a mess

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• SpyderCallスレ主 DadOnARun: Heard. Sometimes, it seems like the media just needs something to blame for the spiking energy prices or rallying military industrial stocks

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• 小鸟凸人 : 涨不了，看空

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• The Comeback Kid : Demand is not too bad, I would think some names like XOM and CVX have values

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• SpyderCallスレ主 小鸟凸人: Data on oil inventories released earlier. It is bringing down crude prices. But nat gas is holding up nicely after the Nat gas storage data was released.

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• Ray P : don't look now

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

• SpyderCallスレ主 Ray P: you talking about Nat gas? or crude?

  報告

  返信
  返信をキャンセル

もっとコメントを見る...