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石油は何ヶ月かぶりに最悪の一日を迎えました。3つの理由があります。
アビ・サルツマンによると、水曜日にアメリカの原油価格は数ヶ月ぶりに80ドルを下回り、需要の低迷と中東情勢の緩和に反応しています。
Barron's00:13 ET
[MRO] マラソンオイル 1Q減収減益 売上高8%減15.5億ドル、営業益26%減4.48億ドル、EPS0.52ドル
マラソン・オイルの2024年度第1四半期(1-3月)の業績は減収、営業減益だった。米現地5月1日の通常取引終了後に公開された8-K(重要事項報告書)によると、第1四半期は売上高は前年同期比7.7%減の15億5100万ドルとなった。営業利益は26.0%減の4億4800万ドル。営業利益率は28.9%へ低下した。前年同期は36.0%だった。1株利益(EPS・希薄化後)は0.52ドル(前年同期0.66ドル
みんかぶ17:25 ET
マラソンオイルの1Q利益は、プロダクションコストの上昇に伴い減少する
マラソンオイルは、アメリカの生産コストが上がったため、第1四半期の利益が減少しました。このヒューストン拠点の石油・ガス生産会社は、2株あたり0.52ドル、総利益2億9,700万ドルを報告しました。
WSJ17:17 ET
速報 | マラソンオイルは、元々提供された2024年の生産、資本支出、コスト、および税金のガイダンス範囲はすべて変更されていないと述べています。
Benzinga16:49 ET
マラソンオイルの収益は予想通りでしたが、売上高は予想に届かなかった。
Investing16:45 ET
マラソンオイル社は第1四半期のEPSを$0.55と発表しました。これは、ストリート予想と一致しました。
2024年5月1日午後4時43分EDT(MTニュースワイヤー)--収益速報(MRO)マラソンオイル社、第1四半期EPS 0.55ドル、ストリート予想 〔0.55〕に対して
MT Newswires16:43 ET
読み込み中...
BelleWeather :
I think proper portfolio positioning vis a vis inflation is important. The concern I have is stagflation, so I’m trying to be defensive to that. This is difficult. And timing the market is impossible and crazy-making, so I personally am taking each day as it comes.
I don’t think anyone is going to sell off over these concerns, and Powell is not about to fan those flames either!
SpyderCallスレ主 BelleWeather: They might not sell over these concerns. But when these variables are present, then any negative catalyst will likely catalyze a selloff. For example, if we get bad rhetoric from Powell next week, then we might see extra volatility. That being said, in the current environment, any selloff will be a good buying opportunity until something breaks in the economy.
SpyderCallスレ主 BelleWeather: So far, wages and employment numbers have held up, so stagflation is not a concern until inflation picks back up. With the way oil and gasoline prices have been climbing, we could possibly see a stagflationary environment soon, but not yet. Things are almost perfect in the economic data currently. We are in a goldilocks zone for the Fed right now. And if things get worse, then the Fed has already mentioned cutting rates. That would be even more accomodative for equities as the "Fed Put" will be in play at that point. So, if we do see stagflation, it shouldn't last long as the Fed will accommodate markets when the inflation, wages, or employment situation changes negatively.
BelleWeather : Agreed on the Goldilocks zone vis a vis the Fed mandate save one issue - the reserve bank balance is almost out - won’t they have to move to correct that?
SpyderCallスレ主 BelleWeather:
They have been greatly decreasing the balance sheet since march 2022. This is done through selling treasury bonds or mortgage securities. Short-term treasuries, like bills, have been the biggest culprits for the runoff of the balance sheet. This has been unwinding the massive amount of asset purchases since the 2008 financial crisis.
They purchased all of these assets back then as a form of quantative easing to boost the economy. Right now, they are selling treasury notes at sky-high yields to provide liquidity to banks essentially. This is putting more liabilities onto the balance sheet, which brings the balance down.
I don't think the balance sheet runoff is such a big deal at the moment.
Once the economy is showing signs of trouble, then I think we will need to worry about the Fed balance sheet. If they start buying assets, essentially quantative easing, then they might think that there is weakness in the economy.
You might think that with the Fed balance falling like it is, then long-term treasuries should be falling along with the balance. But that has not been the case since last November as these treasuries have been climbing.
This tells me that the balance sheet is now falling because the Fed is adding liquidity through short-term bond sales, which inject liquidity into the economy, which is good for an economy and equities.
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Mod Tan : thanks for sharing
TinkerB3ll : Thanks @iamiam for the extensive list wondering what’s your thoughts on MSOS?
iamiamスレ主 TinkerB3ll: I would rather have the individual companies. MSOS is a Blackrock creation with lots of swaps and derivatives, they even have bonds its not bad if you hold it. it's just not my thing. too many swaps and derivatives for my liking.