• Cow Moo-neyスレ主 73687531: Hello

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• SpyderCall : Maybe investors think we are in a goldilocks trype of environment. I'm not in this camp, but I heard some analyst saying that he thinks interest rates are perfect right now based on inflation and jobs data.
  As long as nothing starts to get too hot or too cold, then things might be in the goldilocks zone.
  Most of the time in history, the Fed didn't start cutting rates until they knew something was about to break.
  There have been times when interest rate cuts were not followed by a recession. But in past recessions, once the Fed started cutting rates and yield curves began to steepen, then a recession soon followed.
  Let's just hope we don't see anything break. Like the banking system or some other area of the economy.

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• Cow Moo-neyスレ主 SpyderCall: Calm before the storm? As you have mentioned, history is not quite on the Fed’s side when it comes to cutting of rates (usually something would have broken or there would be an imminent recession). But let’s hope that’s not the case this time

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• SpyderCall Cow Moo-neyスレ主: I hope nothing breaks for the well-being of individuals in the economy.
  But as an investor, any recession might present an amazing investment opportunity. Just saying

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• Cow Moo-neyスレ主 SpyderCall: Haha have to agree with you on this

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• ISTJ SpyderCall: I still strongly believe we are having a soft landing instead of recession.There was one and only one time soft landing happened in 1994-1995, and there are many similarities between now and then, low unemployment rate despite high interest rate, strong GDP growth above 3% etc. If Fed can start rate cut in May of June, they will pull it off this time.

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