The narratives in the markets right now are sky high and rising inflation, European recession, and de-globalization. All of the negative geopolitical tensions around the world are the supposed cause for this. Essentially only cause for actual real inflation is the expansion of the money supply. Mainstream media will not say it but all of the "money printing" during the pandemic is the main cause of the current inflation. The inflation situation as well as a very strong US dollar...
SpyderCallスレ主meruson:
its the basic intro to economics 101. The main stream media is saying inflation is mostly caused by the supply situation or the Russian war. its kind of comical
Mike Hunt :
This Is my number one contrarian indicator. I’m going LONG. Last time it was at this position was right before that July and August multi week rally
Inflation – also known as the silent assassin of cash or deposits – is raging across the globe. This phenomenon seems to be a trend everywhere, from the consequences of the excessive money printing from the already buoyant economy of the US to the resilient sector of the UK. For instance, the US inflation for April came in at 8.3% while the CPI for UK rose by 9% in the 12 months to April 2022. Conventional macro-economic t...
$iシェアーズ 米国国債 20年超 ETF(TLT.US)$ Price has officially broken below a very long term support. Price has not crossed below this trending support level in over 20 years. The volume is steadily increasing with each passing candle showing increased strength momentum of the selloff. A weekly bearish cross of MACD histogram. Scary Just remember that when everybody is scared and looking the other direction then the market can flip the script real quick. In...
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LuckyPiggie :
sorry for my ignorance... what's the reason for the massive selloff ?
SpyderCallスレ主 :
inflation, Russian war, interest rates and yield curve inversion. Many people are expecting a policy error by the US fed. there are several reasons. Prospects for growth dont look good for the future. And everybody is trying to get ahead of the selloff which is exacerbating the selloff. Its like reverse FOMO or something. And the largest holders of US bond or not from the US. Most of the selling is from outside the US as well. But i think the FED should be smarter than everybody is thinking. They wont let the bond market crash too much. But this looks really really bad. Sometimes the FED can fix a leaking pipe. But even the FED cant stop a waterfall.... This is going to be interesting for sure. It appears times might be changing soon
LuckyPiggieSpyderCallスレ主:
ohh i see. Thank you for the explanation. I thought it would be logical to affect the 2,3, 5 year bonds ... but 20yr bonds seems too far away. but if many were sold from outside US ... then not only Fed ,i think the whitehouse will be pressing the panic button very soon .
Givememymoney : Well written
meruson : first principles - printing lots of money equals inflation
SpyderCallスレ主 meruson: its the basic intro to economics 101. The main stream media is saying inflation is mostly caused by the supply situation or the Russian war. its kind of comical
Mike Hunt : This Is my number one contrarian indicator. I’m going LONG. Last time it was at this position was right before that July and August multi week rally
SpyderCallスレ主 Mike Hunt: sometimes it is good to be greedy when others are fearful. the age old wall street proverb
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