$SSE Composite Index(000001.SH)$ There are several pronounced reasons behind the stagnation of the share prices of Chinese companies. The first reason is the ongoing distrust betwen the Chinese gov and USA gov. This has deterred US’s funds from investing in the Chinese companies. As long as the wall of distrust remains, the share price of Chinese companies will remain stagnant. Secondly, the rise of Xi’s administration has brought an enviroment in which common prosperity is favoured....
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ SpyderCall :The Charts Are Flashing Major Warning Signs! Rough Start to the Day A lots of negative sentiment popped up overnight. From negative geopolitical news, sour earnings reactions, trade sanction rumors, and contractionary economic data in one of the world's biggest economies. Equity markets are taking another hit this morning. Safe havens are ripping. And even though the major indices are deep in the red, defensive stocks are performing m...
Moomoo advises our users and the general public to be alert to online investment scams. Recently, we have taken note of an increasing number of scam incidents in multiple markets where moomoo operates, including the U.S., Australia, Canada, Singapore, Malaysia, and Japan. The impact that fraud and scams can have on their victims is devastating. In the last month alone, we have seen three cases of the general public becoming victims of scams and identifie...
$ウルトラ30年米国債(2406)(UBmain.US)$ Liquidity is What Moves Markets Investors worldwide pay very close attention to the Fed whenever they speak. They are searching for any inkling of a clue into future policy decisions. Ultimately, they are looking for the one thing that moves markets, and that would be liquidity. Will they decrease interest rates? Will they add assets to their balance sheet? Will the Federal Reserve pump liquidity into the ...
MonkeyGeeSpyderCallスレ主:
This time, I will have my $1 ready to buy the Lehman brother building. It's so disgusting that you can't find that information online anymore. That was a total scam.
All Eyes on the Upcoming Fed Meeting With interest rates and inflation being the main concern for investors these days, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision coming this Wednesday. Many analysts are calling for a resurgence in inflation. While the Federal Reserve has been standing by their word, saying that inflation is under control and we are on the path towards rate cuts this year. If the Fed believes that inflation is no longer...
BelleWeather :
I think proper portfolio positioning vis a vis inflation is important. The concern I have is stagflation, so I’m trying to be defensive to that. This is difficult. And timing the market is impossible and crazy-making, so I personally am taking each day as it comes. I don’t think anyone is going to sell off over these concerns, and Powell is not about to fan those flames either!
SpyderCallスレ主BelleWeather:
They might not sell over these concerns. But when these variables are present, then any negative catalyst will likely catalyze a selloff. For example, if we get bad rhetoric from Powell next week, then we might see extra volatility. That being said, in the current environment, any selloff will be a good buying opportunity until something breaks in the economy.
SpyderCallスレ主BelleWeather:
So far, wages and employment numbers have held up, so stagflation is not a concern until inflation picks back up. With the way oil and gasoline prices have been climbing, we could possibly see a stagflationary environment soon, but not yet. Things are almost perfect in the economic data currently. We are in a goldilocks zone for the Fed right now. And if things get worse, then the Fed has already mentioned cutting rates. That would be even more accomodative for equities as the "Fed Put" will be in play at that point. So, if we do see stagflation, it shouldn't last long as the Fed will accommodate markets when the inflation, wages, or employment situation changes negatively.
BelleWeather :
Agreed on the Goldilocks zone vis a vis the Fed mandate save one issue - the reserve bank balance is almost out - won’t they have to move to correct that?
SpyderCallスレ主BelleWeather:
They have been greatly decreasing the balance sheet since march 2022. This is done through selling treasury bonds or mortgage securities. Short-term treasuries, like bills, have been the biggest culprits for the runoff of the balance sheet. This has been unwinding the massive amount of asset purchases since the 2008 financial crisis. They purchased all of these assets back then as a form of quantative easing to boost the economy. Right now, they are selling treasury notes at sky-high yields to provide liquidity to banks essentially. This is putting more liabilities onto the balance sheet, which brings the balance down. I don't think the balance sheet runoff is such a big deal at the moment. Once the economy is showing signs of trouble, then I think we will need to worry about the Fed balance sheet. If they start buying assets, essentially quantative easing, then they might think that there is weakness in the economy. You might think that with the Fed balance falling like it is, then long-term treasuries should be falling along with the balance. But that has not been the case since last November as these treasuries have been climbing. This tells me that the balance sheet is now falling because the Fed is adding liquidity through short-term bond sales, which inject liquidity into the economy, which is good for an economy and equities.
Mostly negative in Asian markets except for Taiwan and slight gains in Australia. China's Shanghai Composite falls -0.40%, the second decline in a row from 2024 highs. Nikkei is down -3.0% from the highs set last week.
My Foresight
There are several pronounced reasons behind the stagnation of the share prices of Chinese companies. The first reason is the ongoing distrust betwen the Chinese gov and USA gov. This has deterred US’s funds from investing in the Chinese companies. As long as the wall of distrust remains, the share price of Chinese companies will remain stagnant. Secondly, the rise of Xi’s administration has brought an enviroment in which common prosperity is favoured....
The stricter supervision policies for listing and delisting companies triggered fears that a slew of companies would be kicked off stock exchanges.
$CSI 300(BK20861.HK)$$SSE Composite Index(800146.HK)$$SSE Composite Index(000001.SH)$$Hang Seng China Enterprises Index(800100.HK)$$Hang Seng TECH Index(800700.HK)$$Hang Seng Index(800000.HK)$$アリババ・グループ・ホールディング(BABA.US)$$阿里巴巴集団(09988.HK)$$美団点評(03690.HK)$$小米集団(01810.HK)$$テンセント(00700.HK)$$テンセント(TCEHY.US)$
Run
コラムBearish Type of Morning
SpyderCall : The Charts Are Flashing Major Warning Signs!
Rough Start to the Day
A lots of negative sentiment popped up overnight. From negative geopolitical news, sour earnings reactions, trade sanction rumors, and contractionary economic data in one of the world's biggest economies. Equity markets are taking another hit this morning. Safe havens are ripping. And even though the major indices are deep in the red, defensive stocks are performing m...
Warning: Beware of Online Investment Scams
コラムInsights Into Jerome Powell's Interview
Liquidity is What Moves Markets
Investors worldwide pay very close attention to the Fed whenever they speak. They are searching for any inkling of a clue into future policy decisions. Ultimately, they are looking for the one thing that moves markets, and that would be liquidity.
Will they decrease interest rates? Will they add assets to their balance sheet? Will the Federal Reserve pump liquidity into the ...
Bullish Diamond Candlestick Pattern
It looks a little risky as the long-term trend is down. But I believe this is a good investment at these prices. The price action is exiting the diamond pattern in a bullish fashion.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$$SPDR ダウ工業株平均 ETF(DIA.US)$$インベスコQQQ 信託シリーズ1(QQQ.US)$$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK.US)$$iシェアーズ MSCI エマージング・マーケット ETF(EEM.US)$$MSCI(MSCI.US)$$恐怖指数 CBOE Volatility S&P 500(.VIX.US)$$FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index(.KLSE.MY)$$Hang Seng Index(800000.HK)$$Hang Seng TECH Index(800700.HK)$
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Should We Be Worried About Inflation?
With interest rates and inflation being the main concern for investors these days, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision coming this Wednesday.
Many analysts are calling for a resurgence in inflation. While the Federal Reserve has been standing by their word, saying that inflation is under control and we are on the path towards rate cuts this year.
If the Fed believes that inflation is no longer...
China's Shanghai Composite falls -0.40%, the second decline in a row from 2024 highs.
Nikkei is down -3.0% from the highs set last week.
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