Doji Candles With a Long Upper Shadow The market traded relatively flat on Friday and Monday. Each day had a strong move up during intraday trading, but still closed the day flat. This is a symptom of indecisive markets. Is the market expecting more volatility in the near future? $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$ Possible Short-Term Weakness? SPY futures are showing small signs of weakness on the very short timeframes. You can see a clear upward price channel on th...
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Kirk Holmes :
broad market will likely trade flat or down tomorrow ahead of cpi print. also have pow pow speaking tomorrow after ppi. volatility may be present with gme depending on if shorties get involved and try to fight the prices down
Cutting Rates and Higher for Longer? The Fed is suggesting that rates will be higher for longer. They pushed rate cuts farther out on the dot plot but still maintained the idea of at least one cut this year. There was no mention of any rate hikes and they also increased their projections for GDP. It looks like the market and the economy are in a perfect goldilocks zone. Basically, everything in the economy is just fine in the eyes of the Fed. With no ...
Kevin Matte :
a lot of people that I follow on the internet (mostly youtubers) say that from April/May/June there will be a crash in the market until 2025, of the order of -30 to -75%... A lot start to prepare for it. Personally, I don't believe there will be a "big crash" but rather a correction, and maybe not ^^
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$ An Overheated Rally The S&P 500 has been on a very strong rally for several months and is showing no signs of slowing down yet. Investors and analysts alike have been calling for a correction over the past few weeks. The S&P 500 is showing signs of overextended price action and extreme overbought conditions on the weekly candles. These are some of the technical reasons why traders have been cautious recently. But always remember that the mar...
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BelleWeather :
Bull markets tend to last a long time compared to bear, and the interim has only gotten longer in recent decades. I’ve just started trading (was buy and hold only until a friend was successfully swing trading my picks, so I joined in, practicing with crypto, and playing options leading up to earnings, and turned it into a game of making the number go up .) But I think this is a failing of TA - it isn’t meaningful in this context. I am learning that it is very much so moment to moment for entry & exit points, though! There are many reasons that the bull will continue, only fears that it won’t. This is the fun part, I intend to enjoy it. (And looking back, market PE isn’t so high compared to that over the past 5-7 years.
All Also TakenBelleWeather:
swing trading is fun but you don't make much money with it compared to the risk to have to take, and the work you have to do :)
BelleWeatherAll Also Taken:
Yes, I actually stopped doing so in crypto when I analyzed and saw how much upside I missed! And it’s a lot of work, true! It helps me to follow along with people who explain things here and in other forums. Helps me guide my thoughts, etc. But mostly I look at volume, liquidity and trend - maybe support and resistance to optimize entry or exit when reallocating capital. And that’s how I swing trade, too, now - use some TA, preferably someone’s I trust more than my own, hahaha, to make changes to a portfolio while preserving the maximum capital. But the sad truth is, I might simply be better off not trading at all. In crypto for certain, I did well, but would have hit all targets had I not missed 250% of gains by swapping tokens and coins. Since I don’t have infinite capital, and am prone to so many mistakes, trading stocks is more a side effect than the plan. Options, I think, are the happy medium, if used as a tool, not a gamble (though I’ve done that too, haha.) They allow shorter time frames and are less subject to certain errors and battling algorithms; the Greeks are fun, too.
I agree with this Barrons article. The market is absolutely overdue for a correction. This melt-up is getting a bit ridiculous. The market just keeps climbing. That being said, don't sell the rally just yet. Things can stay overbought for a long time. And this rally has been showing no signs of slowing down just yet. Often the biggest moves happen towards the end of a rally. Short positions are getting eaten alive. Even though things are seve...
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Waynewx :
What you said is obvious, the hard part is being able to profit when it happens.
SpyderCallスレ主Waynewx:
Timing is the hardest part. And it's everything. After a rally like this, I think the correction will eventually be noticeable enough for everyone to get a piece. Even if it is just a little piece.
$VIX指数(2209)(2406)(VXmain.US)$ Are Investors Anticipating Some Volatility in the Near Future? The VIX ended the day in the green with the other futures indices. This is a rare occurrence. A higher VIX indicates more a bearish stance by investors. Apparently, speculators are leaning slightly more bearish in the short term. Multiple Bearish Indications This could just be a fluke, but the fact that the VVIX index closed in the red shows that investors are less bea...
I’m pretty sure currencies are about to crash the stock market. I could very easily be wrong but the market is in the process of de-hedging because of a rumored FED pivot due to inflation coming down. The$恐怖指数 CBOE Volatility S&P 500(.VIX.US)$and the$VVIX Index(.VVIX.US)$(volatility indexes) are breaking down into bullish falling wedges. The market just had two of the craziest gains since 2008. Reason why I think we will crash. FTX is a major grypto player who is going bankrupt as we spe...
.) But I think this is a failing of TA - it isn’t meaningful in this context. I am learning that it is very much so moment to moment for entry & exit points, though! There are many reasons that the bull will continue, only fears that it won’t. This is the fun part, I intend to enjoy it. 
Kirk Holmes : broad market will likely trade flat or down tomorrow ahead of cpi print. also have pow pow speaking tomorrow after ppi. volatility may be present with gme depending on if shorties get involved and try to fight the prices down