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Health Check: How Prudently Does Goldenmax International Group (SZSE:002636) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Goldenmax International Group (SZSE:002636) Use Debt?

健康检查:Goldenmax International Group(深圳证券交易所:002636)如何谨慎地使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  03/20 19:51

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Goldenmax International Group Ltd. (SZSE:002636) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到,Goldenmax国际集团有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002636)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会变得有风险。归根结底,如果公司无法履行其偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然很痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事就是综合考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Goldenmax International Group's Debt?

Goldenmax 国际集团的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Goldenmax International Group had CN¥45.0m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥65.0m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.08b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.03b net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示Goldenmax国际集团在2023年9月的债务为4500万元人民币,低于一年前的6,500万元人民币。但另一方面,它也有10.8亿元人民币的现金,净现金状况为10.3亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002636 Debt to Equity History March 20th 2024
SZSE: 002636 2024 年 3 月 20 日债务与股权比率历史记录

How Healthy Is Goldenmax International Group's Balance Sheet?

Goldenmax 国际集团的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Goldenmax International Group had liabilities of CN¥2.32b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥80.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.08b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.31b due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,Goldenmax国际集团的负债为23.2亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为8,020万元人民币。除这些债务外,它有10.8亿元人民币的现金以及价值13.1亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,这些流动资产与总负债大致相当。

Having regard to Goldenmax International Group's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥5.68b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Goldenmax International Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Goldenmax International Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

考虑到Goldenmax国际集团的规模,其流动资产与总负债似乎保持了良好的平衡。因此,尽管很难想象这家56.8亿元人民币的公司正在为现金而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍然认为值得监控其资产负债表。尽管确实有值得注意的负债,但Goldenmax International Group的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为Goldenmax国际集团需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Goldenmax International Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 11%, to CN¥3.7b. We would much prefer see growth.

去年,Goldenmax国际集团在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了11%,至37亿元人民币。我们更希望看到增长。

So How Risky Is Goldenmax International Group?

那么 Goldenmax 国际集团的风险有多大?

While Goldenmax International Group lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥52m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Goldenmax International Group (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管Goldenmax国际集团的利息税前收益(EBIT)水平出现亏损,但其实际账面利润为5200万元人民币。因此,当你考虑到它有净现金和法定利润时,该股票的风险可能没有看起来那么大,至少在短期内是如此。在我们看到息税前利润为正数之前,我们对该股持谨慎态度,尤其是因为收入增长相当温和。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经向Goldenmax国际集团确定了3个警告信号(至少2个可能很严重),了解这些信号应该是您投资过程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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