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Here's Why Black Hills (NYSE:BKH) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Here's Why Black Hills (NYSE:BKH) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

这就是黑山(纽约证券交易所代码:BKH)受到债务负担压力的原因
Simply Wall St ·  03/13 12:33

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Black Hills Corporation (NYSE:BKH) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,黑山公司(纽约证券交易所代码:BKH)也使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业发展的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷款人,那么债务就任由他们摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人强迫他们以不利的价格筹集资金。当然,债务可以成为企业,尤其是资本密集型企业的重要工具。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

What Is Black Hills's Debt?

什么是黑山的债务?

As you can see below, Black Hills had US$4.40b of debt at December 2023, down from US$4.67b a year prior. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,黑山的债务为44.0亿美元,低于去年同期的46.7亿美元。而且它没有太多现金,因此其净负债大致相同。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:BKH Debt to Equity History March 13th 2024
纽约证券交易所:BKH 债务与股权比率历史记录 2024 年 3 月 13 日

How Strong Is Black Hills' Balance Sheet?

黑山的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Black Hills had liabilities of US$1.19b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$5.13b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$86.6m as well as receivables valued at US$368.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$5.86b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,Black Hills的负债为11.9亿美元,12个月后到期的负债为51.3亿美元。除这些债务外,它有8,660万美元的现金以及价值3.688亿美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出58.6亿美元。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$3.68b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Black Hills would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

这里的缺陷严重影响了这家价值36.8亿美元的公司本身,就好像一个孩子在装满书本、运动装备和喇叭的巨大背包的重压下挣扎一样。因此,毫无疑问,我们将密切关注其资产负债表。毕竟,如果Black Hills今天必须向债权人付款,则可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.0, it's fair to say Black Hills does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.9 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Fortunately, Black Hills grew its EBIT by 3.0% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Black Hills can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

由于净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率为6.0,可以公平地说,黑山确实有大量债务。但好消息是,它拥有相当令人欣慰的2.9倍的利息保障,这表明它可以负责任地履行其义务。幸运的是,去年,Black Hills的息税前利润增长了3.0%,其债务相对于收益的比例逐渐减少。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定Black Hills能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Black Hills burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,值得检查一下息税前利润中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在过去的三年中,黑山烧毁了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, Black Hills's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. It's also worth noting that Black Hills is in the Integrated Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Black Hills has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Black Hills (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

从表面上看,Black Hills的总负债水平使我们对该股持初步态度,其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空荡荡的餐厅更具吸引力。但至少其息税前利润增长率还不错。还值得注意的是,Black Hills属于综合公用事业行业,人们通常认为该行业具有很强的防御性。考虑到上述所有因素,看来黑山的债务太多了。尽管有些投资者喜欢这种冒险的游戏,但这肯定不是我们的好选择。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经确定了两个黑山警告标志(其中一个令人担忧),你应该注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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