What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Foxconn Industrial Internet (SHSE:601138) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Foxconn Industrial Internet, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = CN¥21b ÷ (CN¥272b - CN¥130b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Foxconn Industrial Internet has an ROCE of 14%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 5.3% generated by the Electronic industry.
SHSE:601138 Return on Capital Employed March 10th 2024
In the above chart we have measured Foxconn Industrial Internet's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Foxconn Industrial Internet .
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
Unfortunately, the trend isn't great with ROCE falling from 31% five years ago, while capital employed has grown 118%. That being said, Foxconn Industrial Internet raised some capital prior to their latest results being released, so that could partly explain the increase in capital employed. It's unlikely that all of the funds raised have been put to work yet, so as a consequence Foxconn Industrial Internet might not have received a full period of earnings contribution from it. Additionally, we found that Foxconn Industrial Internet's most recent EBIT figure is around the same as the prior year, so we'd attribute the drop in ROCE mostly to the capital raise.
On a related note, Foxconn Industrial Internet has decreased its current liabilities to 48% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Keep in mind 48% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.
What We Can Learn From Foxconn Industrial Internet's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Foxconn Industrial Internet's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 89% over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
Foxconn Industrial Internet does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Foxconn Industrial Internet that you might be interested in.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
