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Investors More Bullish on People.cn (SHSE:603000) This Week as Stock Jumps 12%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Three Years

Investors More Bullish on People.cn (SHSE:603000) This Week as Stock Jumps 12%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Three Years

尽管过去三年收益呈下降趋势,但由于股价上涨了12%,投资者本周更加看好人民网(SHSE: 603000)
Simply Wall St ·  03/02 19:14

It hasn't been the best quarter for People.cn CO., LTD (SHSE:603000) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 16% in that time. But over three years, the returns would have left most investors smiling In the last three years the share price is up, 68%: better than the market.

对于人民网股份有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:603000)股东来说,这并不是最好的季度,因为当时股价已经下跌了16%。但是在三年内,回报会让大多数投资者微笑。在过去的三年中,股价上涨了68%:好于市场。

Since the stock has added CN¥3.5b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

由于该股仅在过去一周的市值就增加了35亿元人民币,因此让我们看看基础表现是否推动了长期回报。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Over the last three years, People.cn failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 9.3% (annualized).

在过去三年中,People.cn未能增长每股收益,下降了9.3%(按年计算)。

Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,目前市场似乎不太可能将注意力集中在每股收益的增长上。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

Languishing at just 0.6%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 2.7% per year). What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation

股息仅为0.6%,我们怀疑股息是否能在支撑股价方面起到多大作用。你只能想象长期股东对收入下降趋势(每年下滑2.7%)的看法。显而易见的是,历史收益和收入与股价走势不符。因此,你可能需要更深入地挖掘才能了解情况

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603000 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 3rd 2024
SHSE: 603000 2024 年 3 月 3 日收益和收入增长

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on People.cn's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。可能值得一看我们关于People.cn收入、收入和现金流的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of People.cn, it has a TSR of 72% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。尽管股价回报仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。就人民网而言,在过去三年中,它的股东回报率为72%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that People.cn has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 55% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 3% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand People.cn better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for People.cn that you should be aware of before investing here.

很高兴看到People.cn在过去十二个月中向股东提供了55%的总股东回报率。当然,这包括股息。这比五年来3%的年化回报率要好,这意味着该公司最近的表现更好。鉴于股价势头仍然强劲,可能值得仔细研究该股,以免错过机会。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解People.cn,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现了People.cn的1个警告信号,在这里投资之前你应该注意这个标志。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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