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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Zhongtian Service Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002188) 26% Share Price Plunge

なぜ私たちはまだZhongtian Service Co.、Ltd.(SZSE:002188)の株価が26%下落していることに心配していないのか

Simply Wall St ·  02/01 18:16

Zhongtian Service Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002188) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 39% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhongtian Service's P/S ratio of 4.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Communications industry in China is also close to 4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002188 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Zhongtian Service Has Been Performing

Zhongtian Service has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this good revenue growth might only be parallel to the broader industry in the near future. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhongtian Service will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhongtian Service?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Zhongtian Service's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.2% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 207% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 44% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in consideration, it's clear to see why Zhongtian Service's P/S matches up closely to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Zhongtian Service's P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Zhongtian Service looks to be in line with the rest of the Communications industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It appears to us that Zhongtian Service maintains its moderate P/S off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. Given the current circumstances, it seems improbable that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Zhongtian Service that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhongtian Service, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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