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MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000815) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 17:06

The MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment Co., Ltd (SZSE:000815) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 47% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in China's Forestry industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, you may still consider MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000815 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 2.0%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 5.2% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment's P/S Mean For Investors?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment's very lofty P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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