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Investors in TravelSky Technology (HKG:696) Have Unfortunately Lost 33% Over the Last Five Years

Investors in TravelSky Technology (HKG:696) Have Unfortunately Lost 33% Over the Last Five Years

不幸的是,TravelSky Technology(HKG: 696)的投資者在過去五年中損失了33%
Simply Wall St ·  01/16 23:29

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in TravelSky Technology Limited (HKG:696), since the last five years saw the share price fall 37%. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 24% in the last year.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但是在任何投資組合中,個股之間的結果都會好壞參半。目前,一些股東可能會質疑他們對TravelSky Technology Limited(HKG: 696)的投資,因爲在過去五年中,股價下跌了37%。一些最近的買家可能也感到擔憂,該股去年下跌了24%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於從長遠來看,股東會下跌,讓我們來看看那段時間的潛在基本面,看看它們與回報是否一致。

Check out our latest analysis for TravelSky Technology

查看我們對 TravelSky 科技的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

儘管市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映的是投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是基本的業務表現。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the five years over which the share price declined, TravelSky Technology's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 10% each year. Notably, the share price has fallen at 9% per year, fairly close to the change in the EPS. This implies that the market has had a fairly steady view of the stock. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.

在股價下跌的五年中,TravelSky Technology的每股收益(EPS)每年下降10%。值得注意的是,股價每年下跌9%,與每股收益的變化非常接近。這意味着市場對該股的看法相當穩定。相反,股價變化反映了每股收益的變化。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何隨着時間的推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片發現確切的數值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:696 Earnings Per Share Growth January 17th 2024
香港交易所:696 年每股收益增長 2024 年 1 月 17 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of TravelSky Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。查看這張TravelSky Technology收益、收入和現金流的交互式圖表,更深入地了解收益。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for TravelSky Technology the TSR over the last 5 years was -33%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。我們注意到,對於TravelSky Technology而言,過去5年的股東總回報率爲-33%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 17% in the twelve months, TravelSky Technology shareholders did even worse, losing 24% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how TravelSky Technology scores on these 3 valuation metrics.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約17%,但TravelSky Technology的股東表現更糟,損失了24%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨6%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。在決定是否喜歡當前股價之前,請查看TravelSky Technology在這三個估值指標上的得分情況。

But note: TravelSky Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:TravelSky Technology可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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