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Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's (SHSE:603599) 25% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period

Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's (SHSE:603599) 25% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period

安徽廣信農化(SHSE: 603599)25%的複合年增長率超過了公司同期的收益增長
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/30 18:27

It hasn't been the best quarter for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603599) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 19% in that time. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. Indeed, the share price is up an impressive 174% in that time. We think it's more important to dwell on the long term returns than the short term returns. Ultimately business performance will determine whether the stock price continues the positive long term trend.

對於安徽廣信農化股份有限公司(SHSE: 603599)股東來說,這並不是最好的季度,因爲當時股價已經下跌了19%。但這絲毫不影響該公司在五年內創造的真正穩健的長期回報。事實上,當時股價上漲了令人印象深刻的174%。我們認爲,關注長期回報比短期回報更重要。最終,業務表現將決定股價是否延續長期的積極趨勢。

Since it's been a strong week for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由於這是安徽廣信農化股東表現強勁的一週,讓我們來看看長期基本面的走勢。

View our latest analysis for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical

查看我們對安徽廣信農化的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是能合理地反映企業的價值。考慮公司市場看法如何變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價變動進行比較。

Over half a decade, Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical managed to grow its earnings per share at 32% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 22% over the same period. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 8.31.

在過去的五年中,安徽廣信農化成功地將每股收益增長到每年32%。每股收益的增長比同期22%的年股價增長更令人印象深刻。因此,人們可以得出結論,整個市場對該股變得更加謹慎。這種謹慎的情緒反映在其(相當低的)市盈率8.31上。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下圖中看到每股收益隨着時間的推移而發生的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:603599 Earnings Per Share Growth November 30th 2023
SHSE: 603599 每股收益增長 2023 年 11 月 30 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。查看這張安徽廣信農化收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's TSR for the last 5 years was 202%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,安徽廣信農化過去5年的股東總回報率爲202%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical shareholders are down 19% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 5.8%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 25% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical .

我們遺憾地報告,安徽廣信農化股東今年下跌了19%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場5.8%的跌幅還要嚴重。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。好的一面是,長期股東賺了錢,在過去的五年中,每年增長25%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該注意我們在安徽廣信農化身上發現的1個警告標誌。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均收益。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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