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Companies Like SecureWorks (NASDAQ:SCWX) Could Be Quite Risky

Companies Like SecureWorks (NASDAQ:SCWX) Could Be Quite Risky

像 SecureWorks(納斯達克股票代碼:SCWX)這樣的公司可能風險很大
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/21 09:18

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

即使一家企業在虧損,如果股東以合適的價格收購一家好企業,他們也有可能賺錢。例如,生物技術和採礦勘探公司經常虧損多年,然後才在新的治療方法或礦物發現方面取得成功。儘管如此,只有傻瓜才會忽視這樣一個風險,即一家虧損的公司太快地燒掉了現金。

So, the natural question for SecureWorks (NASDAQ:SCWX) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

所以,自然的問題是SecureWorks納斯達克(Sequoia Capital:SCWX)的股東是否應該對其燒錢的速度感到擔憂。在這份報告中,我們將考慮該公司的年度自由現金流為負,此後將其稱為“現金消耗”。我們將首先將其現金消耗與其現金儲備進行比較,以計算其現金跑道。

Check out our latest analysis for SecureWorks

查看我們對SecureWorks的最新分析

Does SecureWorks Have A Long Cash Runway?

SecureWorks有很長的現金跑道嗎?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. When SecureWorks last reported its balance sheet in August 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth US$65m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$96m. That means it had a cash runway of around 8 months as of August 2023. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

現金跑道的定義是,如果一家公司繼續以目前的現金消耗速度支出,它需要多長時間才能耗盡資金。SecureWorks上一次報告資產負債表是在2023年8月,當時它沒有債務和價值6500萬美元的現金。就去年而言,該公司燒掉了9600萬美元。這意味著,截至2023年8月,該公司擁有約8個月的現金跑道。坦率地說,這種短暫的跑道讓我們感到不安,因為它表明該公司必須大幅減少現金消耗,否則就會立即籌集現金。如下所示,你可以看到它的現金持有量是如何隨著時間的推移而變化的。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:SCWX Debt to Equity History October 21st 2023
NasdaqGS:SCWX債轉股歷史2023年10月21日

How Well Is SecureWorks Growing?

SecureWorks的發展情況如何?

One thing for shareholders to keep front in mind is that SecureWorks increased its cash burn by 350% in the last twelve months. As if that's not bad enough, the operating revenue also dropped by 17%, making us very wary indeed. In light of the above-mentioned, we're pretty wary of the trajectory the company seems to be on. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

股東們要記住的一件事是,SecureWorks的現金消耗在過去12個月裡增加了350%。如果這還不夠糟糕的話,營業收入也下降了17%,這讓我們確實非常警惕。鑑於上述情況,我們對該公司目前的發展軌跡相當謹慎。然而,顯然,關鍵因素是該公司是否會在未來實現業務增長。因此,你可能想看看該公司在未來幾年的預期增長速度。

How Hard Would It Be For SecureWorks To Raise More Cash For Growth?

SecureWorks籌集更多現金以實現增長的難度有多大?

Given its revenue and free cash flow are both moving in the wrong direction, shareholders may well be wondering how easily SecureWorks could raise cash. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

鑑於SecureWorks的收入和自由現金流都在朝著錯誤的方向發展,股東們很可能會想知道SecureWorks籌集現金的難度有多大。一般來說,上市企業可以通過發行股票或承擔債務來籌集新的現金。許多公司最終發行新股,為未來的增長提供資金。我們可以將一家公司的現金消耗與其市值進行比較,以瞭解一家公司需要發行多少新股才能為一年的運營提供資金。

SecureWorks has a market capitalisation of US$554m and burnt through US$96m last year, which is 17% of the company's market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

SecureWorks的市值為5.54億美元,去年燒掉了9600萬美元,佔該公司市值的17%。在這種情況下,公平地說,該公司將不會有太多困難籌集更多現金來實現增長,但股東的股份將被稀釋。

How Risky Is SecureWorks' Cash Burn Situation?

SecureWorks的燒錢情況有多大風險?

On this analysis of SecureWorks' cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. Considering all the measures mentioned in this report, we reckon that its cash burn is fairly risky, and if we held shares we'd be watching like a hawk for any deterioration. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 2 warning signs for SecureWorks (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

在對SecureWorks現金消耗的分析中,我們認為它的現金消耗相對於其市值來說是令人放心的,而它不斷增加的現金消耗讓我們有點擔心。考慮到這份報告中提到的所有措施,我們認為它的現金消耗是相當危險的,如果我們持有股票,我們將像鷹一樣觀察任何惡化。另外,我們研究了影響公司的不同風險,併發現了SecureWorks的2個警告標誌(其中1個是重要的!)你應該知道。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

當然了,如果你把目光投向別處,你可能會發現這是一筆很棒的投資。所以讓我們來看看這個免費感興趣的公司名單,以及這份名單中的成長股(根據分析師預測)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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