FTC Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:FTCI) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 54% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the reality of under-performance over the last twelve months. The cold reality is that the stock has dropped 21% in one year, under-performing the market.
On a more encouraging note the company has added US$57m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the one-year loss for shareholders.
View our latest analysis for FTC Solar
Because FTC Solar made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
FTC Solar's revenue didn't grow at all in the last year. In fact, it fell 6.8%. That looks pretty grim, at a glance. Shareholders have seen the share price drop 21% in that time. What would you expect when revenue is falling, and it doesn't make a profit? We think most holders must believe revenue growth will improve, or else costs will decline.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
NasdaqGM:FTCI Earnings and Revenue Growth January 24th 2023
It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think FTC Solar will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
A Different Perspective
FTC Solar shareholders are down 21% for the year, even worse than the market loss of 8.1%. There's no doubt that's a disappointment, but the stock may well have fared better in a stronger market. It's great to see a nice little 54% rebound in the last three months. This could just be a bounce because the selling was too aggressive, but fingers crossed it's the start of a new trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for FTC Solar that you should be aware of.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
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