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Nanjing CIGU Technology Corp.,LTD.'s (SHSE:688448) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?

Nanjing CIGU Technology Corp.,LTD.'s (SHSE:688448) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?

南京CIGU科技有限公司(SHSE:688448)的股票表現強勁:財務表現弱是否意味着市場會調整其股票價格?
Simply Wall St ·  05/09 07:10

Most readers would already be aware that Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD's (SHSE:688448) stock increased significantly by 39% over the past month. However, we decided to pay close attention to its weak financials as we are doubtful that the current momentum will keep up, given the scenario. In this article, we decided to focus on Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD's ROE.

大多數讀者可能已經知道,南京CIGU科技有限公司(SHSE:688448)的股票在過去一個月中大幅上漲了39%。然而,考慮到目前的情況,我們決定密切關注其疲弱的財務狀況,因爲我們對目前的勢頭能否持續表示懷疑。本文中,我們決定專注於南京CIGU科技有限公司的ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率(ROE)是衡量公司如何有效地增長其價值和管理投資者資金的指標。換句話說,它是一個盈利能力比率,測量公司股東提供的資本的回報率。

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這項科技可能會取代電腦:探索20只股票正在努力使量子計算成爲現實。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE是如何計算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續經營) ÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD is:

因此,基於上述公式,南京CIGU科技有限公司的ROE爲:

4.5% = CN¥46m ÷ CN¥1.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).

4.5% = CN¥4600萬 ÷ CN¥10億(基於截至2025年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.05 in profit.

「回報」是過去十二個月的利潤。 將其概念化的一種方式是,對於每1元股東資本,公司賺取了0.05元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們了解到ROE衡量一家公司產生利潤的效率。基於公司選擇再投資或"保留"的利潤多少,我們能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。假設其他因素保持不變,ROE越高,利潤保留越高,公司相較於不一定具備這些特點的公司,增長率也會更高。

Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD's Earnings Growth And 4.5% ROE

南京CIGU科技有限公司的收益增長與4.5% ROE

It is quite clear that Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.4%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 2.1% seen by Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

顯然,南京CIGU科技有限公司的ROE相對較低。即使與行業平均ROE 6.4%相比,該公司的ROE也相當慘淡。在這種情況下,南京CIGU科技有限公司在過去五年中凈利潤下降2.1%也就不足爲奇了。我們認爲,還有其他因素可能對公司的盈利前景產生負面影響。例如,該公司擁有非常高的分紅派息比率,或面臨競爭壓力。

However, when we compared Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 5.3% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將南京基固科技有限公司的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現儘管公司的收益在下降,但行業在同一時期的收益增長達到了5.3%。這非常令人擔憂。

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SHSE:688448 Past Earnings Growth May 8th 2025
上交所:688448 過去的收益增長 2025年5月8日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

給公司估值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長相關。投資者需要判斷的下一個問題是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益增長是否已反映在股價中。這樣做將有助於他們確定股票的未來是看好還是不祥。南京基固科技有限公司是否與其他公司相比被合理估值?這三個估值指標或許能幫助您做出決定。

Is Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

南京基固科技有限公司是否有效利用其利潤?

Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 67% (or a retention ratio of 33%). With only very little left to reinvest into the business, growth in earnings is far from likely. Our risks dashboard should have the 3 risks we have identified for Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD.

考慮到該公司將大部分利潤用於支付分紅,根據三年的中位數派息比率67%(或保留比率33%),南京基固科技有限公司收益下降並不奇怪。由於剩餘資金很少用於再投資,收益增長几乎不太可能。我們的風險儀表應該列出我們爲南京基固科技有限公司識別的三項風險。

Only recently, Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD stated paying a dividend. This likely means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders have a strong preference for dividends.

最近,南京紫谷科技有限公司宣佈開始支付分紅派息。這可能意味着管理層認爲其股東對分紅派息有很強的偏好。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. You can do your own research on Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

總體來說,在對南京紫谷科技有限公司做出任何決定之前,我們會非常謹慎。因爲該公司並未對業務進行大量再投資,加上低ROE,看到其盈利增長的缺乏或缺失並不令人驚訝。到目前爲止,我們只是在通過查看公司的基本面來略微觸及該公司過去表現的表面。您可以對南京紫谷科技有限公司進行自己的研究,查看其過去的表現,了解過去的盈利、營業收入和現金流的詳細免費圖表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋嗎?對內容有疑慮嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall ST撰寫,屬於一般性質。我們提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,僅使用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不意圖提供財務建議。它不構成對買入或賣出任何股票的推薦,也未考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在提供基於基本數據的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中沒有持倉。

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