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Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd's (SZSE:001228) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd's (SZSE:001228) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

永泰雲化學物流有限公司 (SZSE:001228) 的疲弱收益可能比你想象的更糟
Simply Wall St ·  05/08 07:33

Following the release of a lackluster earnings report from Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.,Ltd (SZSE:001228) the stock price made a strong positive move. We did some analysis and found some positive factors that investors might be paying attention to rather than profit.

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SZSE:001228 Earnings and Revenue History May 7th 2025

Examining Cashflow Against Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to March 2025, Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.33. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥499m despite its profit of CN¥90.7m, mentioned above. We also note that Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥499m. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥71m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Having considered these factors, we don't think Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd at this point in time. To help with this, we've discovered 4 warning signs (3 are potentially serious!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Yongtaiyun Chemical LogisticsLtd.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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