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Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:688798) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:688798) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

上海愛威尼克科技有限公司(SHSE:688798)的利潤似乎存在質量問題
Simply Wall St ·  05/08 06:15

The market shrugged off Shanghai Awinic Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688798) solid earnings report. We think that investors might be worried about some concerning underlying factors.

市場對上海安立科技有限公司(SHSE:688798)強勁的業績不以爲然。我們認爲投資者可能對一些令人擔憂的潛在因素感到擔心。

This technology could replace computers: discover the 20 stocks are working to make quantum computing a reality.

這項科技可能會取代電腦:探索20只股票正在努力使量子計算成爲現實。

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SHSE:688798 Earnings and Revenue History May 7th 2025
SHSE:688798 業績與營業收入歷史 2025年5月7日

Examining Cashflow Against Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd's Earnings

將自由現金流與上海安立科技有限公司的營業收入進行比較

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

許多投資者可能沒有聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司盈利在某一時期內有多少是由自由現金流(FCF)支撐的一個有用指標。要計算應計比率,我們首先從某一時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將這個結果除以該時期的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們公司有多少利潤沒有得到自由現金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,當一家公司擁有負的應計比率時,實際上被視爲好事,而如果其應計比率爲正則被視爲壞事。這並不是說我們應該擔心一個正的應計比率,但值得注意的是,某些情況下應計比率相對較高。特別是,有一些學術證據表明,高應計比率通常是短期利潤的壞兆頭。

Over the twelve months to March 2025, Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥93m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥283.1m. We saw that FCF was CN¥430m a year ago though, so Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

截至2025年3月的十二個月內,上海艾微科技有限公司錄得的應計比率爲0.21。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流遠低於法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。在過去的一年中,它的自由現金流實際上爲負值,達到9300萬人民幣,而法定利潤則達到28310萬人民幣。不過,我們看到一年前自由現金流爲43000萬人民幣,因此上海艾微科技有限公司在過去至少能夠產生正的自由現金流。話雖如此,故事還有更多。我們可以看到,異常項目對其法定利潤產生了影響,因此也影響了應計比率。對上海艾微科技有限公司股東來說,有一個積極的因素是,它的應計比率在去年顯著改善,這使人有理由相信它可能在未來回歸更強的現金轉換。因此,一些股東可能在尋求今年更強的現金轉換。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以點擊這裏查看基於他們的估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常事項如何影響利潤?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥54m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to March 2025. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

該公司在過去一年中由於異常項目推動利潤增加了5400萬人民幣,這可能在某種程度上解釋了其應計比率爲何如此疲弱。雖然擁有更高的利潤總是讓人愉快,但大量來自異常項目的貢獻有時會抑制我們的熱情。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大異常項目往往不會重複。這並不令人驚訝,考慮到其名稱。我們可以看到,上海艾微科技有限公司的正異常項目在截至2025年3月的年度中相對於其利潤而言非常顯著。因此,我們可以推測,異常項目使得其法定利潤大大高於其本來應該的水平。

Our Take On Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我們對上海愛威尼科技有限公司盈利表現的看法

Summing up, Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

總的來說,上海愛威尼科技有限公司從非正常項目中獲得了可觀的盈利提升,但未能將其紙面盈利與自由現金流相匹配。考慮到這一切,我們認爲上海愛威尼科技有限公司的盈利可能給人一種過於慷慨的可持續盈利水平的印象。考慮到這一點,除非我們充分了解相關風險,否則我們不會考慮投資於某隻股票。例如——上海愛威尼科技有限公司有一個我們認爲您應該注意的警告信號。

Our examination of Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我們對上海愛威尼科技有限公司的研究集中在某些因素上,這些因素可能使其盈利看起來比實際更好。基於這一點,我們對此持有一定懷疑態度。但如果您能夠專注於細節,總會有更多發現。一些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的良好標誌。雖然這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這份包含高股本回報率公司的自由收集,或這份擁有大量內部持股的股票列表對您很有幫助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋嗎?對內容有疑慮嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall ST撰寫,屬於一般性質。我們提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,僅使用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不意圖提供財務建議。它不構成對買入或賣出任何股票的推薦,也未考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在提供基於基本數據的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中沒有持倉。

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