Why Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's (SZSE:002167) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem
Why Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's (SZSE:002167) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem
The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002167) despite the healthy numbers. Our analysis suggests that shareholders might be missing some positive underlying factors in the earnings report.
市場似乎對廣東鋯業有限公司(SZSE:002167)上週的盈利公告反應平淡,儘管數據健康。我們的分析表明,股東可能忽視了盈利報告中的一些積極潛在因素。

Examining Cashflow Against Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's Earnings
對比廣東鋯業有限公司的現金流與盈利
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
一個關鍵的財務比率,用於衡量公司將利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的能力是應計比率。應計比率通過從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,並將結果除以該公司在此期間的平均運營資產。您可以將現金流的應計比率視爲「非FCF獲利比例」。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,當公司具有負的應計比率時,實際上被視爲好事,而如果其應計比率爲正則被視爲壞事。雖然應計比率高於零問題不大,但我們認爲當公司應計比率相對較高時值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的論文:"應計更多的公司未來往往盈利能力較差。"
For the year to March 2025, Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.25. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥688m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥229.3m. Notably, Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥688m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
截至2025年3月的年度,廣東鋯業有限公司的應計比率爲-0.25。這意味着它的現金轉換率非常好,且其去年的盈利實際上大大低估了自由現金流。值得一提的是,在此期間,它產生了68800萬CN¥的自由現金流,遠超其報告的盈利22930萬CN¥。尤爲重要的是,廣東鋯業有限公司去年的自由現金流爲負,因此它今年產生的68800萬CN¥是一項受歡迎的改善。然而,這不僅僅是要考慮的所有事項。應計比率反映了非常規項目對法定盈利的影響,至少在某種程度上。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd.
注意:我們總是建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊這裏查看我們對東方鋯業的資產負債表分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
異常項目對利潤的影響
Surprisingly, given Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥7.1m in unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
令人驚訝的是,儘管東方鋯業的應計比率暗示了強勁的現金轉化能力,但其賬面利潤實際上因非凡項目增加了710萬人民幣。我們不能否認更高的利潤通常讓我們感到樂觀,但我們更希望利潤是可持續的。當我們對數千家上市公司進行數據分析時,我們發現某一年來自非凡項目的提升往往不會在下一年重複。這並不令人驚訝,考慮到這個名字。如果東方鋯業沒有看到這種貢獻的重複,那麼在其他條件相等的情況下,我們會預期它的利潤在當前年度下降。
Our Take On Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's Profit Performance
我們對東方鋯業利潤表現的看法
Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. While it's very important to consider the profit and loss statement, you can also learn a lot about a company by looking at its balance sheet. You can see our latest analysis on Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's balance sheet health here.
東方鋯業的利潤因非凡項目獲得了提升,這表明它們可能不可持續,而其應計比率仍然表明穩健的現金轉化,令人鼓舞。考慮到以上所有因素,我們認爲東方鋯業的利潤結果對其真實盈利能力提供了相當好的指導,儘管有些保守。雖然考慮損益表非常重要,但通過查看資產負債表,您也可以了解很多有關公司的信息。您可以在這裏查看我們對東方鋯業資產負債表健康狀況的最新分析。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在本文中,我們看了一些可能削弱盈利數字作爲業務指導工具的因素。但如果您能夠集中注意力於細節,始終有更多的東西可以發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是良好業務經濟的標誌,而其他人則喜歡「追蹤資金」,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這份高股本回報率公司自由集合,或這份擁有高內部人持股的股票清單。
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本文由Simply Wall ST撰寫,屬於一般性質。我們提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,僅使用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不意圖提供財務建議。它不構成對買入或賣出任何股票的推薦,也未考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在提供基於基本數據的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中沒有持倉。