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Impact of U.S. Reciprocal Tariffs on Malaysia’s Semiconductor Industry

Impact of U.S. Reciprocal Tariffs on Malaysia’s Semiconductor Industry

美國互惠關稅對馬來西亞半導體行業板塊的影響
moomoo資訊 ·  04/07 03:06

The recent imposition of a 24% reciprocal tariff by the U.S. on imports from Malaysia has raised significant concerns for the country’s critical semiconductor sector, despite its partial exemption. While semiconductors are temporarily shielded from the tariffs, broader risks to supply chains, indirect exposure, and future trade uncertainties loom over the industry.

最近,美國對從馬來西亞進口產品徵收24%的互惠關稅,儘管有部分豁免,但仍然引發了國家關鍵半導體板塊的重大關切。儘管半導體暫時免受關稅影響,但更廣泛的供應鏈風險、間接影響以及未來的交易不確定性仍在行業上空徘徊。

Current Exposure and Immediate Impact

當前的影響與短期衝擊

Malaysia’s electrical and electronics (E&E) sector, which accounts for 40% of the nation’s total exports and 60% of its shipments to the U.S., faces immediate disruption. According to Investment, Trade, and Industry Minister Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Abdul Aziz, half of Malaysia’s E&E exports to the U.S. consist of semiconductors, which are exempt from the new tariffs. The remaining 50%, however, includes non-semiconductor E&E products such as computers and industrial equipment, now subject to the 24% levy. This means 30% of Malaysia’s total exports to the U.S.—valued at RM198.65 billion (US$42.5 billion) in 2024—are directly affected, threatening competitiveness and profitability for manufacturers.

馬來西亞的電氣和電子(E&E)行業佔國家總出口的40%和對美國出口的60%,面臨直接干擾。根據投資、貿易與工業部長丹特克·阿茲爾的說法,馬來西亞50%的對美E&E出口由免稅的半導體組成。然而,剩下的50%包括如計算機和工業設備等非半導體E&E產品,現需繳納24%的稅。這意味着馬來西亞對美國總出口的30%——在2024年估計價值爲RM1986.5億(425億美元)——受到直接影響,威脅到製造商的競爭力和盈利能力。

Indirect Risks to Semiconductors

間接風險對半導體的影響

While semiconductors themselves are exempt, industry leaders warn of indirect consequences. Datuk Seri Wong Siew Hai, president of the Malaysia Semiconductor Industry Association (MSIA), emphasized that chips embedded in tariff-hit finished goods, such as electronics or machinery, could still face hidden costs. “If a product containing Malaysian semiconductors is shipped to the U.S., the tariff applies to the entire equipment. So, you don’t truly escape,” Wong explained. This creates pricing pressures for downstream manufacturers and may disrupt demand for Malaysian components.

儘管半導體本身被豁免,但行業領導者警告會有間接後果。馬來西亞半導體行業協會(MSIA)主席丹特克·黃秀海強調,嵌入關稅影響的成品中的芯片,如電子產品或機械,仍可能面臨隱性成本。「如果包含馬來西亞半導體的產品被運送到美國,關稅將適用於整台設備。所以,你並沒有真正逃脫,」黃解釋道。這給下遊製造商帶來了定價壓力,也可能影響對馬來西亞元件的需求。

Future Uncertainty and Geopolitical Risks

未來的不確定性與地緣政治風險

The exemption for semiconductors is not guaranteed to last. The Trump administration’s unpredictable trade policies leave room for future targeting. Wong cautioned, “Semiconductors could still be separately hit in the next round of tariffs.” Such a move would devastate Malaysia’s economy, given its role as a global semiconductor hub. U.S. giants like Intel and Germany’s Infineon Technologies operate major facilities in Malaysia, employing thousands and contributing to over 7% of the nation’s GDP. A tariff on semiconductors would not only harm U.S. firms’ offshore operations but also ripple through Malaysia’s domestic supply chain, which supports these multinationals.

半導體的豁免並不保證能夠持續。特朗普政府不可預測的貿易政策留出了未來被針對的空間。黃警告說,「半導體可能在下一輪關稅中被單獨打擊。」這一舉動將 devastate 馬來西亞經濟,因爲其作爲全球半導體中心的角色。像英特爾這樣的美國巨頭和德國的恩智浦半導體在馬來西亞運營着大型工廠,僱傭數千人,併爲國家GDP貢獻超過7%。對半導體的關稅不僅會損害美國公司的海外運營,而且會波及支持這些跨國公司的馬來西亞國內供應鏈。

Supply Chain Vulnerabilities

供應鏈脆弱性

Minister Zafrul highlighted that much of Malaysia’s E&E exports to the U.S. originate from American companies producing intermediate goods in Malaysia for final assembly stateside. While this underscores Malaysia’s integration into global tech supply chains, it also exposes local suppliers. “We must assess how tariffs impact Malaysian industries and SMEs linked to these U.S. firms,” Zafrul stressed. Higher costs for U.S. manufacturers in Malaysia could lead to reduced orders or relocation of production, jeopardizing Malaysia’s position as a preferred outsourcing destination.

扎夫魯部長強調,馬來西亞對美國的電子和電氣出口大部分來自美國公司在馬來西亞生產的中間產品,這些產品最終會在美國組裝。雖然這凸顯了馬來西亞與全球科技供應鏈的整合,但也使本地供應商面臨風險。扎夫魯強調:「我們必須評估關稅對與這些美國公司關聯的馬來西亞行業和中小企業的影響。」 在馬來西亞的美國製造商支出更高的成本可能導致訂單減少或生產轉移,危及馬來西亞作爲首選外包目的地的地位。

Mitigation Efforts and Industry Response

減緩措施與行業響應

Malaysia’s government has announced plans to negotiate with the U.S. to minimize tariff impacts. Meanwhile, the semiconductor industry adopts a “wait-and-see” approach amid policy unpredictability. Wong noted that while exemptions provide short-term relief, long-term strategies—such as diversifying markets and enhancing value-added production—are critical. Malaysia’s trade ministry is also likely to emphasize the mutual benefits of its semiconductor ecosystem to U.S. negotiators, given that American companies rely on Malaysian-made chips for their domestic manufacturing.

馬來西亞政府已宣佈計劃與美國談判,以減少關稅影響。與此同時,半導體行業在政策不確定性中採取「觀望」態度。黃指出,雖然豁免提供了短期救助,但長期策略,如市場多元化和提升附加值生產,至關重要。鑑於美國公司依賴馬來西亞製造的芯片進行本土製造,馬來西亞的貿易部也可能會向美國談判者強調其半導體生態系統的相互利益。

Conclusion

結論

The U.S. tariffs present a dual challenge for Malaysia: immediate pain for non-semiconductor E&E exports and lingering threats to its crown jewel semiconductor sector. While the industry’s exemption offers temporary respite, indirect exposure and geopolitical risks demand proactive measures. Strengthening supply chain resilience, accelerating trade diversification, and lobbying for sector-specific exemptions will be vital to safeguarding Malaysia’s role in the global tech economy amid escalating trade tensions.

美國關稅給馬來西亞帶來了雙重挑戰:非半導體電子和電氣出口的即時痛苦以及對其皇冠明珠半導體行業的持續威脅。雖然該行業的豁免提供了暫時的緩解,但間接曝光和地緣政治風險要求採取積極措施。加強供應鏈韌性、加快貿易多元化,以及遊說特定行業的豁免,對於在日益升級的貿易緊張局勢中保護馬來西亞在全球科技經濟中的角色至關重要。

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