Bursa's Construction Index Valuation Unjustified As Sector Remains Robust
Bursa's Construction Index Valuation Unjustified As Sector Remains Robust

RHB Investment Bank Bhd (RHB Research) has maintained its OVERWEIGHT stance on the construction sector, citing a robust pipeline of projects and steady contract flows.
RHB投資銀行有限公司(RHB研究)對施工板塊保持超配態度, citing 了一系列強勁的項目管道和穩定的合同流。
The research house highlighted Gamuda Bhd, Sunway Construction Bhd (SunCon), and Binastra Bhd as top picks, backed by commendable earnings visibility and diversified job portfolios. Despite a negative earnings revision trend over the past 12 months, the sector remains active, with total work value in 2024 reaching a record RM159 billion, up 20% year-on-year.
研究機構重點推薦了 Gamuda有限公司、順利建設有限公司(SunCon)和Binastra有限公司,基於其良好的盈利可見性和多元化的工作組合。儘管過去12個月盈利修正趨勢呈負面,但該板塊仍然活躍,2024年的總工作價值達到創紀錄的1590億林吉特,較去年增長20%。
The data centre (DC) segment continues to present strong growth prospects. Cushman & Wakefield reported around 822MW of planned DC capacity in Johor, while Negeri Sembilan is emerging as another key location. Gamuda's recent acquisition of 389 acres in Port Dickson could accommodate between 500MW and 1GW of DC capacity.
數據中心(DC)領域繼續展現強勁的增長前景。Cushman & Wakefield報告顯示,柔佛計劃約有822MW的DC容量,而雪蘭莪則逐漸成爲另一個關鍵地點。Gamuda最近在波德申收購的389英畝土地可容納500MW到1GW的DC容量。
Additionally, HSS Engineers is targeting a separate 100MW DC project in the state. RHB Research noted that the presence of Tier 1 DC developers in Malaysia could mitigate risks associated with US AI Diffusion Rules.
此外,HSS工程師正在瞄準該州的一個獨立100MW DC項目。RHB研究指出,馬來西亞Tier 1數據中心開發商的存在,可以降低與美國人工智能擴散規則相關的風險。
Infrastructure projects are also expected to drive sector growth. The upcoming Elevated Autonomous Rapid Transit (EART) system in Johor, which aims to complement the Johor Bahru-Singapore RTS Link, is set to have an estimated cost of RM6-7 billion. The proposed 211km Kita Selangor Rail Line from Sabak Bernam to Negeri Sembilan adds to the list of large-scale projects, alongside the Penang Light Rail Transit (LRT) system, which still has RM5 billion worth of packages remaining.
基礎設施項目也預計將推動板塊增長。即將在柔佛推出的高架無人快速交通(EART)系統旨在補充新山-新加坡RTS鏈接,預計成本達到60-70億林吉特。提議的211公里Kita Selangor鐵路線從賽巴克伯南到雪蘭莪,加入到大型項目清單中,此外檳城輕軌(LRT)系統仍有價值50億林吉特的工程包剩餘。
Meanwhile, the reinstatement of five LRT3 stations is also progressing.
與此同時,五個LRT3車站的重建也在進行中。
Flood mitigation and water-related infrastructure could unlock further opportunities. The Selangor government has proposed a RM6 billion underground flood tunnel system, while 35 flood mitigation projects are in the pre-implementation stage and another 73 are underway under the RM22.9 billion allocation in the Fifth Rolling Plan of the 12th Malaysia Plan.
防洪和水相關的基礎設施可能會解鎖更多機會。雪蘭莪州政府提議建設價值60億林吉特的地下防洪隧道系統,而35個防洪項目正處於前期實施階段,另有73個項目在第十二個馬來西亞計劃的第五個滾動計劃中正在進行中的229億林吉特的撥款下開展。
The Bursa Malaysia Construction Index (BMCI) is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15.2 times, lower than the 19 times seen in late 2024. RHB Research believed this valuation is unjustified, given the sector's resilience and the Works Ministry's projected RM200 billion in construction spending for 2025. The current valuation is also in line with the 2017 construction upcycle, despite the added growth potential from DC developments.
馬來西亞建築指數(BMCI)目前的前瞻市盈率爲15.2倍,低於2024年底的19倍。RHB研究認爲這一估值不合理,因爲該板塊表現出韌性,而工程部預計2025年的施工支出將達到2000億馬幣。目前的估值也與2017年的建築上行週期相符,儘管來自DC開發的增長潛力有所增加。