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Is Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies (SZSE:003029) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

Is Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies (SZSE:003029) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

吉大正元(SZSE:003029)能否如期實現增長計劃?
Simply Wall St ·  08/01 18:59

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

毫無疑問,擁有不盈利企業的股權是可以掙錢的。例如,雖然軟件即服務業務賽富時在增長重複收入的同時多年虧損,但如果你從2005年開始持有這些股份,你肯定會收益豐厚。但是,儘管成功案例很多,投資者也不應忽視那些只是燒完所有現金然後破產的很多未盈利企業。

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies (SZSE:003029) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

考慮到這種風險,我們認爲有必要看一下吉大正元(SZSE:003029)的現金流。在本文中,現金流是指不盈利公司爲支持其增長而花費現金的年度速率;即是自由現金流的負數。首先,我們將通過比較其現金流和現金儲備來確定其現金航母時間。

When Might Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies Run Out Of Money?

吉大正元股票在什麼時候可能用盡資金?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at March 2024, Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies had cash of CN¥569m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥311m. Therefore, from March 2024 it had roughly 22 months of cash runway. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

公司的現金航段可以通過將其現金存款與其現金流出相除來計算。截至2024年3月,吉大正元有現金56900萬人民幣,沒有負債。去年同期,公司的現金流出是31100萬人民幣。因此,從2024年3月開始,它大約有22個月的現金航段。雖然這個現金航段還不是太令人擔憂,但明智的持有人會眺望遠方,並考慮公司如果用完現金會發生什麼情況。下面可以看到其現金持有量的變化情況。

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SZSE:003029 Debt to Equity History August 1st 2024
SZSE:003029資產負債表歷史記錄 2024年8月1日

How Well Is Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies Growing?

吉大正元的經營狀況如何?去年看到吉大正元的現金流出增長了285%,令人震驚。雖然這已經令人擔憂了,但在同一時期,營業收入實際下降了24%,這使我們感到非常不安。基於上述理由,我們對該公司的發展軌跡感到非常謹慎。儘管過去的經驗總是值得學習的,但最重要的是未來。因此,查看分析師對該公司的預測是非常有意義的。

It was quite stunning to see that Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies increased its cash burn by 285% over the last year. While that's concerning on it's own, the fact that operating revenue was actually down 24% over the same period makes us positively tremulous. In light of the above-mentioned, we're pretty wary of the trajectory the company seems to be on. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

吉大正元能否輕鬆籌集更多資金?吉大正元的營收在下降,現金流出在增加,因此可能有很多人在考慮它需要在未來籌集更多資金。發行新股或負債是上市公司籌集更多資金最常見的方式。公司在公開市場上賣出股份來籌集資金並擴大業務持有的主要優勢之一是,這樣就能了解一家公司的現金流出與其市值的比例,從而了解如果公司需要籌集足夠的資金來支付下一年的現金流出,股東們將被稀釋多少。

Can Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies Raise More Cash Easily?

吉大正元能否輕鬆籌集更多資金?

Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies revenue is declining and its cash burn is increasing, so many may be considering its need to raise more cash in the future. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

吉大正元的營收在下降,現金流出在增加,因此可能有很多人在考慮它需要在未來籌集更多資金。發行新股或負債是上市公司籌集更多資金最常見的方式。公司在公開市場上賣出股份來籌集資金並擴大業務持有的主要優勢之一是,這樣就能了解一家公司的現金流出與其市值的比例,從而了解如果公司需要籌集足夠的資金來支付下一年的現金流出,股東們將被稀釋多少。

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥3.5b, Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies' CN¥311m in cash burn equates to about 8.8% of its market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

由於它的市值爲35億元人民幣,因此吉大正元的31100萬人民幣的現金流出相當於其市值的8.8%左右。鑑於這是一個相當小的比例,公司很可能會很容易地向投資者發行新股籌集另外一個年度的資金,甚至可以通過貸款來實現。

So, Should We Worry About Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies' Cash Burn?

那麼,我們應該擔心吉大正元嗎?從吉大正元的現金流上看,我們認爲其現金流出與其市值的比值是令人放心的,而其現金流出的增加讓我們有些擔憂。我們不認爲吉大正元的現金流出是特別嚴重的問題,但在考慮本文中的一系列因素之後,我們認爲股東們應該密切關注該指標的變化。此外,我們還評估了影響該公司的不同風險,並發現吉大正元存在兩個警告信號(其中一個與我們觀點不太一致!)。

On this analysis of Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies' cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. We don't think its cash burn is particularly problematic, but after considering the range of factors in this article, we do think shareholders should be monitoring how it changes over time. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 2 warning signs for Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

通過對吉大正元的現金流出進行分析,我們認爲其現金流出與其市值的比值是令人放心的,但其不斷增長的現金流出讓我們有些擔憂。我們不認爲吉大正元的現金流出是特別嚴重的問題,但在考慮本文中的一系列因素之後,我們認爲股東們應該密切關注該指標的變化。此外,我們還評估了影響該公司的不同風險,並發現吉大正元存在兩個警告信號(其中一個與我們觀點不太一致!)。

Of course Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

當然,吉大正元可能不是最好的股票選擇。因此,您可能希望查看這個具有高股東權益回報的公司的免費收藏,或者查看這個高內部所有權的股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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