Is Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics (SZSE:000561) A Risky Investment?
Is Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics (SZSE:000561) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000561) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
作爲投資者,有些人認爲波動性而不是債務是考慮風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:「波動性遠非風險的代名詞。」,所以在考慮某隻股票有多大風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會讓一家公司破產。烽火電子股份有限公司(SZSE:000561)像許多其他公司一樣,利用債務。但是股東們是否應該擔心它的債務使用情況?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業的資本或自由現金流無法償還債務爲止。如果企業無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所有。儘管這種情況並不太常見,但我們經常會看到負債累累的公司因貸款人強迫其以低價融資而不得不永久稀釋股東。但是,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。在我們研究債務水平時,首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
How Much Debt Does Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Carry?
烽火電子的債務規模是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics had CN¥528.1m of debt, an increase on CN¥321.4m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥303.6m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥224.5m.
您可以點擊下面的圖表獲取歷史數據,但是它顯示,截至2024年3月,烽火電子有5,281.0萬元的債務,比去年的3,214.0萬元增加。但由於其有3,036.0萬元的現金儲備,因此其淨債務較少,約爲2,245.0萬元。
A Look At Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics' Liabilities
研究烽火電子的負債
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics had liabilities of CN¥1.84b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥236.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥303.6m in cash and CN¥1.80b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.
放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,烽火電子有18.4億元的負債到期日在12個月內,而超過到期日的負債爲2,368.0萬元。與此相抵,它有3,036.0萬元的現金和18億元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其總負債幾乎與其短期流動資產完全匹配。
Having regard to Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥4.02b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.
考慮到烽火電子的規模,其流動資產似乎與其總負債很好地平衡。因此,雖然很難想象這家市值40.2億的公司會缺少現金,但我們仍認爲監控其資產負債表很有價值。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
BJ批發俱樂部控股公司的淨債務只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋其利息費用,比例爲12.6倍。因此,我們對其超級保守的債務使用感到相當放心。雖然BJ批發俱樂部控股公司在EBIT方面沒有取得太多進展,但至少其盈利保持穩定。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的切入點。但歸根結底,企業未來的盈利能力將決定BJ批發俱樂部控股公司能否隨着時間的推移加強資產負債表。因此,如果你要關注未來,可以查看一下這份免費的分析報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。
Strangely Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 5.3, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 1k. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. Shareholders should be aware that Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics's EBIT was down 94% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
奇怪的是,烽火電子的EBITDA比率高達5.3,意味着它有高額的債務,但利息保障倍數卻很高,達到0.1萬。這意味着,除非該公司擁有非常便宜的債務,否則利息費用很可能會在未來增加。股東應該知道,烽火電子的EBIT去年下降了94%。如果這種賺錢的趨勢繼續下去,償還其債務將會像把貓趕上過山車一樣困難。了解公司財務狀況,無疑最好從資產負債表入手。但是,與此不同的是,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表上。要知道,我們的投資分析顯示,烽火電子有兩個問題需要注意......
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最後,公司只能用冷硬的現金而不是會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們顯然需要看看這是否促使EBIT對應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,烽火電子燒掉了大量的現金。雖然這可能是爲了增長而進行的支出,但它會讓債務變得更加風險。
Our View
我們的觀點
To be frank both Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
坦率地說,烽火電子的EBIT轉換爲自由現金流以及其未能增長EBIT的記錄,使我們對其的債務水平感到不安。但至少它用EBIT相當不錯地覆蓋了利息費用,這是鼓舞人心的。綜合考慮以上所有因素,我們認爲烽火電子的債務使其稍微有些風險。有些人喜歡這種風險,但我們要注意其中的潛在風險,所以我們可能更希望它承擔更少的債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存於資產負債表,這絕非空穴來風。要知道,我們的投資分析顯示,烽火電子有兩個警示信號,您應該了解......
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。