The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd (SHSE:600872) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd (SHSE:600872) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. Zooming in on an example, the Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial Holding Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600872) share price dropped 53% in the last half decade. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 49% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 39% in the last 90 days.
我們認爲智能長期投資是正確的選擇。 但是,在此過程中,一些股票表現不佳。 舉個例子,中炬高新(上證:600872)股票價格在過去的半個十年中下跌了53%。 我們對那些接近高峰時購買的股東表示同情。 股價在過去一年中下跌了49%,不僅是長揸者,股東們最近的表現也更加糟糕,在過去90天中股價下跌了39%。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
考慮到過去一週對股東來說是艱難的,讓我們調查一下基本面並看看我們能學到什麼。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
儘管市場是一個強大的定價機制,股價不僅反映了基本業務表現,還反映了投資者的情緒。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價變化,並隨時間推移這樣做,我們可以了解股東對公司的態度如何隨時間變化。
Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd became profitable within the last five years. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.
中炬高新在過去五年內變得盈利。 大多數人認爲這是一件好事,因此看到股價下降並不符合直覺。 其他指標可能會更好地告訴我們其價值隨時間的變化。
Revenue is actually up 4.0% over the time period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.
營業收入實際上在此時間段內增長了4.0%。 對營收和收益進行更詳細的研究可能會或可能不會解釋股價低迷的原因。 這可能是一個投資機會。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
值得注意的是,CEO的薪水低於規模相似公司的中位數。關注CEO的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是公司是否會在多年內增長收益。因此,我們建議查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd's TSR for the last 5 years was -51%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報率(TSR)和股票價格回報之間的差異。 TSR是一個返回計算,它考慮了現金股利的價值(假定任何收到的股息都被重新投資)以及任何打折融資和分拆的計算價值。 所以對於那些付出豐厚股息的公司,TSR經常比股票價格回報高得多。 然而,中炬高新在過去5年的TSR爲-51%,超過了先前提到的股票價格回報。 公司支付的股息因此提高了股東總回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While the broader market lost about 19% in the twelve months, Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 48% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial HoldingLtd (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
雖然整個市場在過去十二個月中損失了約19%,但中炬高新的股東的損失更大,達到了48%(包括股息)。 但是,股價可能會受到更廣泛市場的影響。 有必要關注基本面,以尋求良好的機會。 不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明存在未解決的挑戰,鑑於其比過去半個十年的年化虧損率(9%)還要糟糕。 一般而言,長期股價疲軟可能是一個不好的跡象,儘管反向投資者可能希望研究該股票,以期實現逆轉。 我發現長期股價作爲業務表現的代理很有趣。 但是,爲了獲得真正的洞察力,我們需要考慮其他信息。 例如,我們發現了中炬高新有3個警告標誌(其中2個有些不愉快!)在投資之前請注意。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。