Guardant Health, Inc. (NASDAQ:GH) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Guardant Health is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.9x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Healthcare industry have P/S ratios below 1.2x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Guardant Health's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been advantageous for Guardant Health as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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How Is Guardant Health's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Guardant Health's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 25% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 103% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.4% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Guardant Health is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What Does Guardant Health's P/S Mean For Investors?
Guardant Health's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Guardant Health maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Healthcare industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Guardant Health, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guardant Health, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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