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These 2 Retail-Wholesale Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar

Two factors often determine stock prices in the long run: earnings and interest rates. Investors can't control the latter, but they can focus on a company's earnings results every quarter.

Life and the stock market are both about expectations, and rising above what is expected is often rewarded, while falling short can come with negative consequences. Investors might want to try to capture stronger returns by finding positive earnings surprises.

2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist

The Zacks Earnings ESP, or Expected Surprise Prediction, aims to find earnings surprises by focusing on the most recent analyst revisions. The basic premise is that if an analyst reevaluates their earnings estimate ahead of an earnings release, it means they likely have new information that could possibly be more accurate. The core of the ESP model is comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, where the resulting percentage difference between the two equals the Expected Surprise Prediction.

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The last thing we will do today, now that we have a grasp on the ESP and how powerful of a tool it can be, is to look at a qualifying stock. AutoZone (AZO) holds a Zacks Rank #3 at the moment and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $35.85 a share 29 days away from its upcoming earnings release on May 28, 2024.

By taking the percentage difference between the $35.85 Most Accurate Estimate and the $35.75 Zacks Consensus Estimate, AutoZone has an Earnings ESP of 0.26%.

AZO is just one of a large group of Retail-Wholesale stocks with a positive ESP figure. Wingstop (WING) is another qualifying stock you may want to consider.

Slated to report earnings on May 1, 2024, Wingstop holds a #2 (Buy) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is $0.78 a share two days from its next quarterly update.

Wingstop's Earnings ESP figure currently stands at 4.6% after taking the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.74.

AZO and WING's positive ESP metrics may signal that a positive earnings surprise for both stocks is on the horizon.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Wingstop Inc. (WING) : Free Stock Analysis Report

To read this article on Zacks.com click here.

Zacks Investment Research