Is Xgimi TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688696) A Risky Investment?
Is Xgimi TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688696) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Xgimi Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688696) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。與許多其他公司一樣,Xgimi Technology Co., Ltd.(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688696)使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務會帶來什麼風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸方,那麼債務就任其擺佈。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面後果。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Xgimi TechnologyLtd's Debt?
Xgimi TechnologyLtd的債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Xgimi TechnologyLtd had CN¥660.3m of debt, an increase on CN¥300.0m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.32b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.66b net cash.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,極米科技有限公司在一年內有6.603億元人民幣的債務,比3億元人民幣增加了3億元人民幣。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有23.2億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有16.6億元人民幣的淨現金。
A Look At Xgimi TechnologyLtd's Liabilities
看看極米科技有限公司的負債
The latest balance sheet data shows that Xgimi TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.14b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.15b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.32b as well as receivables valued at CN¥166.3m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥190.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,極米科技有限公司的負債爲11.4億元人民幣在一年內到期,11.5億元人民幣的負債在此之後到期。除這些債務外,它有23.2億元人民幣的現金以及價值1.663億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出1.909億元人民幣 總 負債。
This surplus suggests that Xgimi TechnologyLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Xgimi TechnologyLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種盈餘表明極米科技有限公司的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,Xgimi TechnologyLtd的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。
It is just as well that Xgimi TechnologyLtd's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 92% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Xgimi TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
同樣重要的是,極米科技有限公司的負擔並不太重,因爲其息稅前利潤比去年下降了92%。在還清債務方面,收入下降對健康的作用並不比含糖的蘇打水更有用。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定極米科技有限公司能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Xgimi TechnologyLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Xgimi TechnologyLtd's free cash flow amounted to 43% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。Xgimi TechnologyLtd的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理債務的能力。在過去三年中,極米科技有限公司的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的43%,低於我們的預期。在償還債務方面,這並不好。
Summing Up
總結
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Xgimi TechnologyLtd has net cash of CN¥1.66b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Xgimi TechnologyLtd's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Xgimi TechnologyLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,極米科技有限公司的淨現金爲16.6億元人民幣,流動資產比負債還多。因此,我們對Xgimi TechnologyLtd使用債務沒有任何問題。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,Xgimi TechnologyLtd在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,你應該知道...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。