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The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as China Merchants Port Holdings (HKG:144) Stock Falls a Further 5.3% in Past Week

The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as China Merchants Port Holdings (HKG:144) Stock Falls a Further 5.3% in Past Week

由於招商局港口控股(HKG: 144)股價在過去一週進一步下跌5.3%,五年股東回報率和公司收益持續走低
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 18:05

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term China Merchants Port Holdings Company Limited (HKG:144) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 41% over a half decade. Even worse, it's down 10% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 5.0% in the same time period.

理想情況下,您的整體投資組合應超過市場平均水平。但是,幾乎每個投資者都肯定會有表現過硬和表現不佳的股票。因此,我們不會責怪招商局港口控股有限公司(HKG: 144)的長期股東懷疑他們的持股決定,該股在五年內下跌了41%。更糟糕的是,它在大約一個月內下降了10%,這一點都不好玩。但是,我們注意到價格可能受到大盤的影響,同期下跌了5.0%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for China Merchants Port Holdings isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果說過去一週有意義的話,投資者對招商局港口控股的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在不匹配的情況。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the five years over which the share price declined, China Merchants Port Holdings' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 9.6% each year. In this case, the EPS change is really very close to the share price drop of 10% a year. This implies that the market has had a fairly steady view of the stock. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.

在股價下跌的五年中,招商局港口控股的每股收益(EPS)每年下降9.6%。在這種情況下,每股收益的變化實際上非常接近股價每年下降10%。這意味着市場對該股的看法相當穩定。相反,股價變化反映了每股收益的變化。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:144 Earnings Per Share Growth February 5th 2024
SEHK: 144 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 5 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on China Merchants Port Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本相似公司的大多數首席執行官要適中。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。如果你想進一步調查該股,這份關於招商港口控股收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for China Merchants Port Holdings the TSR over the last 5 years was -16%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。我們注意到,招商局港口控股在過去5年的股東總回報率爲-16%,好於上述股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, China Merchants Port Holdings shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 6.1% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 19%. Given the total loss of 3% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Merchants Port Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for China Merchants Port Holdings you should be aware of.

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但招商局港口控股的股東可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的6.1%的虧損沒有19%左右的市場虧損那麼嚴重。鑑於五年內每年的總損失爲3%,在過去的十二個月中,回報率似乎有所下降。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解招商局港口控股,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。一個很好的例子:我們發現了招商局港口控股的兩個警告信號,你應該注意了。

We will like China Merchants Port Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大規模的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡招商局港口控股公司。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費清單,列出了最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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