share_log

Shareholders in Shenzhen Investment (HKG:604) Have Lost 44%, as Stock Drops 5.3% This Past Week

Shareholders in Shenzhen Investment (HKG:604) Have Lost 44%, as Stock Drops 5.3% This Past Week

深圳投资(HKG: 604)的股东下跌了44%,上周股价下跌了5.3%
Simply Wall St ·  02/02 19:04

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Shenzhen Investment Limited (HKG:604) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 62% over a half decade. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 32% in the last year.

选股的主要目的是寻找市场领先的股票。但是在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会好坏参半。因此,我们不会责怪深圳投资有限公司(HKG: 604)的长期股东怀疑他们的持股决定,该股在五年内下跌了62%。一些最近的买家可能也感到担忧,该股去年下跌了32%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鉴于过去一周对股东来说很艰难,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Shenzhen Investment has made a profit in the past. However, it made a loss in the last twelve months, suggesting profit may be an unreliable metric at this stage. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

深圳投资过去曾盈利。但是,它在过去十二个月中出现了亏损,这表明现阶段的利润可能是一个不可靠的指标。其他指标可能会让我们更好地了解其价值如何随着时间的推移而变化。

The most recent dividend was actually lower than it was in the past, so that may have sent the share price lower.

最近的股息实际上低于过去,因此这可能使股价走低。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:604 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 3rd 2024
SEHK: 604 2024年2月3日的收益和收入增长

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Shenzhen Investment the TSR over the last 5 years was -44%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,深圳投资在过去5年的股东总回报率为-44%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We regret to report that Shenzhen Investment shareholders are down 24% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 20%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shenzhen Investment better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Investment (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

我们遗憾地报告,深圳投资的股东今年下跌了24%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比整个市场20%的跌幅还要严重。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中8%的年化亏损还要糟糕。总的来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能希望研究该股以期出现转机。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解深圳投资,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现了深圳投资的 2 个警告信号(1 个很重要!)在这里投资之前,您应该注意这一点。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发