China MeiDong Auto Holdings Limited (HKG:1268) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 46% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 87% loss during that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that China MeiDong Auto Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Specialty Retail industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
SEHK:1268 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
What Does China MeiDong Auto Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been advantageous for China MeiDong Auto Holdings as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
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Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like China MeiDong Auto Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 23% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 69% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 2.4% during the coming year according to the eleven analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 16% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.
With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that China MeiDong Auto Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
The Final Word
China MeiDong Auto Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
While China MeiDong Auto Holdings' P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for China MeiDong Auto Holdings that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of China MeiDong Auto Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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