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Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's (SHSE:603599) 25% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period

Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's (SHSE:603599) 25% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period

安徽广信农化(SHSE: 603599)25%的复合年增长率超过了公司同期的收益增长
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/30 18:27

It hasn't been the best quarter for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603599) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 19% in that time. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. Indeed, the share price is up an impressive 174% in that time. We think it's more important to dwell on the long term returns than the short term returns. Ultimately business performance will determine whether the stock price continues the positive long term trend.

对于安徽广信农化股份有限公司(SHSE: 603599)股东来说,这并不是最好的季度,因为当时股价已经下跌了19%。但这丝毫不影响该公司在五年内创造的真正稳健的长期回报。事实上,当时股价上涨了令人印象深刻的174%。我们认为,关注长期回报比短期回报更重要。最终,业务表现将决定股价是否延续长期的积极趋势。

Since it's been a strong week for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由于对安徽广信农化股东来说,这是强劲的一周,让我们来看看长期基本面的走势。

View our latest analysis for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical

查看我们对安徽广信农化的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Over half a decade, Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical managed to grow its earnings per share at 32% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 22% over the same period. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 8.31.

在过去的五年中,安徽广信农化成功地将每股收益增长到每年32%。每股收益的增长比同期22%的年股价增长更令人印象深刻。因此,人们可以得出结论,整个市场对该股变得更加谨慎。这种谨慎的情绪反映在其(相当低的)市盈率8.31上。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到 EPS 随时间推移的变化(点击图表查看确切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:603599 Earnings Per Share Growth November 30th 2023
SHSE: 603599 每股收益增长 2023 年 11 月 30 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。查看这张安徽广信农化收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's TSR for the last 5 years was 202%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,安徽广信农化过去5年的股东总回报率为202%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We regret to report that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical shareholders are down 19% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 5.8%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 25% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical .

我们遗憾地报告,安徽广信农化股东今年下跌了19%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比整个市场5.8%的跌幅还要严重。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。好的一面是,长期股东赚了钱,在过去的五年中,每年增长25%。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,那么当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该注意我们在安徽广信农化身上发现的1个警告标志。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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