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The Three-year Loss for Greentown Service Group (HKG:2869) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

The Three-year Loss for Greentown Service Group (HKG:2869) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

綠城服務集團(HKG: 2869)股東的三年虧損可能是由於其收益萎縮所致
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/23 18:16

Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:2869) shareholders. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 62% drop in the share price over that period. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 30% in a year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 14% in the last three months.

投資股票不可避免地意味着買入一些表現不佳的公司。但是,從長遠來看,過去的三年對綠城服務集團公司來說尤其艱難。有限公司(HKG: 2869)股東。遺憾的是,在此期間,他們不得不應對股價下跌62%。最近的消息並不令人欣慰,股價在一年內下跌了30%。最近,跌幅加快,股價在過去三個月中下跌了14%。

While the last three years has been tough for Greentown Service Group shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

儘管過去三年對綠城服務集團的股東來說是艱難的,但過去一週卻顯示出希望的跡象。因此,讓我們來看看長期基本面,看看它們是否是負回報的驅動力。

See our latest analysis for Greentown Service Group

查看我們對綠城服務集團的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Greentown Service Group saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 3.8% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 28% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

在過去三年中,綠城服務集團的每股收益複合年下降率爲3.8%。28%的股價跌幅實際上比每股收益的下滑幅度更大。因此,過去市場似乎對該業務過於自信。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:2869 Earnings Per Share Growth November 23rd 2023
香港交易所:2869 每股收益增長 2023 年 11 月 23 日

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Greentown Service Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們關於綠城服務集團收益、收入和現金流的免費報告可能值得一看。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Greentown Service Group's TSR for the last 3 years was -60%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率以及股價回報。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率包括任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,綠城服務集團過去3年的股東總回報率爲-60%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息促進了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market gained around 5.1% in the last year, Greentown Service Group shareholders lost 29% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. Is Greentown Service Group cheap compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

儘管去年整個市場上漲了約5.1%,但綠城服務集團的股東卻下跌了29%(甚至包括股息)。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望看到企業的基本指標有所改善,然後才會變得過於感興趣。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明挑戰尚未得到解決,因爲這比過去五年來8%的年化虧損還要嚴重。我們意識到,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。與其他公司相比,綠城服務集團便宜嗎?這三種估值指標可能有助於您做出決定。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找中獎投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費名單可能只是門票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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