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Is Prada (HKG:1913) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Prada (HKG:1913) Using Too Much Debt?

普拉達(HKG: 1913)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/13 17:05

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李璐對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因爲債務超負荷可能導致破產。重要的是,Prada S.p.A.(HKG:1913)確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面後果。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

See our latest analysis for Prada

查看我們對普拉達的最新分析

What Is Prada's Debt?

普拉達的債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Prada had €486.7m of debt in June 2023, down from €608.0m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has €766.3m in cash, leading to a €279.5m net cash position.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示普拉達在2023年6月的債務爲4.867億歐元,低於一年前的6.080億歐元。但另一方面,它也有7.663億歐元的現金,淨現金狀況爲2.795億歐元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1913 Debt to Equity History November 13th 2023
香港交易所:1913 債權與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 11 月 13 日

How Healthy Is Prada's Balance Sheet?

普拉達的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Prada had liabilities of €1.33b due within 12 months and liabilities of €2.37b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €766.3m and €399.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €2.54b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

縱觀最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,普拉達在12個月內到期的負債爲13.3億歐元,此後到期的負債爲23.7億歐元。另一方面,它在一年內有7.663億歐元的現金和價值3.996億歐元的應收賬款。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出25.4億歐元。

Of course, Prada has a titanic market capitalization of €13.8b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Prada boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

當然,普拉達的市值高達138億歐元,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監控資產負債表。儘管負債可觀,但普拉達擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Prada has boosted its EBIT by 53%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Prada's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

除此之外,我們很高興地向大家報告,Prada已將其息稅前收益提高了53%,從而減少了未來償還債務的陰影。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益,比什麼都重要,將決定普拉達未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Prada may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Prada actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

但是我們的最終考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。普拉達的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該企業如何將其息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理債務的能力。在過去的三年中,普拉達產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。在保持貸款人的信任方面,沒有什麼比現金流入更好的了。

Summing Up

總結

While Prada does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €279.5m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €840m, being 123% of its EBIT. So is Prada's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Prada, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

儘管普拉達的負債確實多於流動資產,但其淨現金也爲2.795億歐元。它以8.4億歐元的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的123%。那麼普拉達的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,因此,如果你對普拉達感興趣,不妨點擊此處查看其每股收益歷史的交互式圖表。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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