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Allegion's (NYSE:ALLE) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their 18% Return Over the Last Five Years

Allegion's (NYSE:ALLE) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their 18% Return Over the Last Five Years

Allegion(紐約證券交易所代碼:ALLE)的投資者將對過去五年中18%的回報率感到滿意
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/01 11:14

Allegion plc (NYSE:ALLE) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 14% in the last quarter. On the bright side the share price is up over the last half decade. Unfortunately its return of 10% is below the market return of 62%.

Allegion plc(紐約證券交易所代碼:ALLE)股東在上個季度看到股價下跌14%後可能會感到擔憂。好的一面是,在過去的五年中,股價一直在上漲。不幸的是,其10%的回報率低於62%的市場回報率。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在也值得一看公司的基本面,因爲這將有助於我們確定長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

View our latest analysis for Allegion

查看我們對 Allegion 的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Over half a decade, Allegion managed to grow its earnings per share at 14% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 2% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.

在過去的五年中,Allegion設法將其每股收益以每年14%的速度增長。每股收益的增長高於股價每年平均增長2%。因此,看來市場對該公司已經變得相對悲觀了。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:ALLE Earnings Per Share Growth November 1st 2023
紐約證券交易所:ALLE 2023 年 11 月 1 日每股收益增長

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

我們喜歡內部人士在過去十二個月中一直在購買股票。即便如此,未來的收益對於當前股東能否賺錢要重要得多。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Allegion, it has a TSR of 18% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率以及股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息已被再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報。就Allegion而言,它在過去5年的股東總回報率爲18%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Investors in Allegion had a tough year, with a total loss of 6.2% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 9.0%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 3% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Allegion you should know about.

Allegion的投資者經歷了艱難的一年,總虧損6.2%(包括股息),而市場漲幅約爲9.0%。但是,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內表現遜於市場。好的一面是,長期股東已經賺了錢,在過去的五年中,每年增長3%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。我發現從長遠來看,將股價視爲業務表現的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,以風險爲例。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了 Allegion 的 1 個警告信號,你應該知道。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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